PM · Expected Move

Philip Morris International Inc.

The expected move for PM is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

PM straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current PM Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$11.85
7-Day Straddle
$5.88
30-Day ATM IV
26.5%
IV Rank
19%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to PM's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
PM Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261023 $11.85 $5.88 26.5% 19%
20261022 $11.90 $6.53 25.9% 15%
20261021 $13.05 $7.85 29.1% 35%
20261020 $13.50 $11.15 29.7% 39%
20261019 $14.15 $8.65 30.6% 44%
20261016 $14.80 $10.10 32.5% 57%
20261015 $14.25 $9.45 31.5% 50%
20261014 $13.65 $10.75 29.3% 37%
20261013 $15.60 $10.30 33.4% 62%
20261012 $14.95 $4.92 31.2% 49%
20261009 $13.90 $5.47 30.5% 44%
20261008 $15.60 $6.38 34.0% 67%
20261007 $14.35 $6.00 32.2% 55%
20261006 $13.90 $6.53 31.8% 52%
20261005 $14.80 $4.97 33.0% 60%
20261002 $13.10 $5.15 31.3% 49%
20261001 $13.80 $6.55 32.0% 53%
20260930 $13.95 $6.50 31.8% 53%
20260929 $14.00 $7.20 31.0% 47%
20260928 $13.65 $5.20 29.9% 40%
20260925 $13.35 $5.90 32.0% 54%
20260924 $13.75 $7.25 31.8% 52%
20260923 $13.95 $8.05 32.2% 55%
20260922 $14.35 $7.30 31.9% 53%
20260921 $15.05 $4.68 31.6% 51%
20260918 $11.25 $5.28 28.3% 30%
20260917 $11.40 $5.88 27.6% 25%
20260916 $11.95 $6.42 26.8% 21%
20260915 $12.30 $7.05 27.2% 23%
20260914 $12.20 $4.70 26.8% 20%
20260911 $11.30 $5.72 26.9% 21%
20260910 $12.40 $5.97 28.9% 34%
20260909 $11.80 $6.42 27.9% 28%
20260908 $12.30 $6.95 28.8% 33%
20260904 $11.35 $5.20 26.8% 21%
20260903 $11.35 $5.15 26.9% 21%
20260902 $11.75 $6.08 27.5% 25%
20260901 $12.10 $7.35 28.1% 29%
20260831 $11.85 $4.22 26.1% 16%
20260828 $10.12 $5.12 25.7% 13%
20260827 $11.40 $5.72 27.1% 22%
20260826 $11.90 $6.08 26.7% 20%
20260825 $11.75 $6.72 26.0% 16%
20260824 $12.25 $4.80 26.6% 19%
20260821 $10.85 $5.35 25.8% 14%
20260820 $11.75 $5.90 27.2% 23%
20260819 $11.60 $6.72 26.9% 21%
20260818 $11.65 $7.00 26.3% 17%
20260817 $12.00 $4.50 27.5% 25%
20260814 $9.55 $4.78 23.6% 0%
20260813 $10.65 $5.72 25.3% 0%
20260812 $11.15 $6.43 26.0% 4%
20260811 $11.40 $6.80 26.5% 8%
20260810 $12.75 $4.78 29.0% 26%
20260807 — — 28.3% 20%
20260806 $12.97 $6.97 30.6% 36%
20260805 $13.00 $8.70 30.0% 32%
20260804 $13.35 $8.35 30.6% 36%
20260803 $13.60 $5.53 30.2% 33%
20260731 $12.45 $6.15 29.3% 27%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.