PS · Expected Move

Pershing Square Inc.

The expected move for PS is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

PS straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current PS Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$7.72
7-Day Straddle
$3.83
30-Day ATM IV
66.4%
IV Rank
69%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to PS's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
PS Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261110 $7.72 $3.83 66.4% 69%
20261109 $8.95 $6.05 67.1% 71%
20261106 $9.00 $6.15 66.5% 69%
20261105 $8.60 $5.28 61.4% 52%
20261104 $6.72 $6.72 60.1% 47%
20261103 $6.30 $6.30 68.2% 75%
20261102 $6.67 $6.67 73.5% 94%
20261030 $6.50 $6.50 67.7% 74%
20261029 $7.10 $7.10 68.7% 77%
20261028 $6.53 $6.53 65.2% 65%
20261027 $7.22 $7.22 71.2% 86%
20261026 $6.75 $6.75 69.6% 80%
20261023 $7.05 $7.05 71.1% 86%
20261022 $7.17 $7.17 70.7% 84%
20261021 $7.05 $7.05 65.5% 66%
20261020 $7.50 $7.50 71.2% 86%
20261019 $7.05 $7.05 66.7% 70%
20261016 $8.20 $1.80 73.4% 94%
20261015 $9.82 $4.08 65.5% 66%
20261014 $7.83 $3.00 68.4% 76%
20261013 $8.85 $3.50 68.5% 76%
20261012 $10.15 $3.85 69.5% 80%
20261009 $11.05 $5.17 74.8% 98%
20261008 $10.75 $4.47 70.9% 85%
20261007 $12.25 $6.00 71.9% 88%
20261006 $12.10 $6.17 71.1% 85%
20261005 $11.15 $5.70 67.9% 74%
20261002 $7.58 $7.58 74.4% 97%
20261001 $7.35 $7.35 75.2% 100%
20260930 $7.55 $7.55 74.2% 100%
20260929 $7.10 $7.10 72.6% 97%
20260928 $8.10 $8.10 73.3% 100%
20260925 $7.62 $7.62 71.2% 100%
20260924 $7.20 $7.20 68.5% 97%
20260923 $7.05 $7.05 69.2% 100%
20260922 $7.22 $7.22 68.2% 100%
20260921 $7.55 $7.55 66.9% 100%
20260918 $6.70 $1.22 61.1% 89%
20260917 $5.95 $1.90 55.3% 52%
20260916 $5.93 $2.50 62.1% 95%
20260915 $5.47 $1.95 57.8% 68%
20260914 $6.15 $3.05 62.0% 95%
20260911 $6.47 $3.15 55.5% 54%
20260910 $4.88 $2.75 53.4% 41%
20260909 $4.83 $2.83 56.0% 57%
20260908 $6.75 $3.65 62.4% 97%
20260904 $6.55 $3.53 52.3% 34%
20260903 $4.85 $2.98 46.8% 0%
20260902 $2.90 $2.90 54.4% 44%
20260901 $3.73 $3.73 49.5% 12%
20260831 $4.45 $4.45 50.5% 18%
20260828 $4.03 $4.03 51.2% 23%
20260827 $4.07 $4.07 50.0% 15%
20260826 $5.03 $5.03 58.2% 69%
20260825 $5.58 $5.58 51.9% 28%
20260824 $4.70 $4.70 54.8% 47%
20260821 $4.20 $1.05 48.4% —
20260820 $4.47 $1.38 47.7% —
20260819 $4.72 $1.85 51.4% —
20260818 $4.67 $2.00 50.5% —

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.