QDF · Expected Move

Northern Trust Quality Dividend ETF · ETF

The expected move for QDF is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

QDF straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current QDF Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.88
7-Day Straddle
$2.88
30-Day ATM IV
14.0%
IV Rank
7%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to QDF's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
QDF Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $2.88 $2.88 14.0% 7%
20261020 $2.75 $2.75 13.7% 5%
20261019 $2.73 $2.73 14.8% 12%
20261016 $2.90 $5.00 14.1% 8%
20261015 $3.00 $1.67 13.3% 2%
20261014 $2.98 $1.73 13.5% 4%
20261013 $2.90 $1.83 13.1% 1%
20261012 $2.95 $1.82 12.9% 0%
20261009 $3.00 $1.88 13.8% 0%
20261008 $3.43 $2.00 14.3% 0%
20261007 $3.45 $2.02 14.5% 2%
20261006 $3.17 $2.03 14.3% 0%
20261005 $3.60 $2.12 14.5% 0%
20261002 $2.17 $2.17 14.8% 0%
20261001 $2.25 $2.25 15.1% 0%
20260930 $2.35 $2.35 17.4% 14%
20260929 $2.40 $2.40 17.1% 11%
20260928 $2.28 $2.28 16.8% 9%
20260925 $2.38 $2.38 15.7% 0%
20260924 $2.53 $2.53 16.6% 7%
20260923 $2.35 $2.35 16.3% 5%
20260922 $2.58 $2.58 16.4% 5%
20260921 $2.45 $2.45 15.8% 0%
20260918 $2.88 $3.73 18.5% 18%
20260917 $3.10 $2.23 19.3% 25%
20260916 $3.25 $2.40 16.9% 5%
20260915 $3.25 $2.48 16.4% 0%
20260914 $3.25 $2.47 16.7% 0%
20260911 $3.35 $2.58 18.0% 10%
20260910 $3.45 $2.65 17.2% 3%
20260909 $3.40 $2.67 17.1% 3%
20260908 $3.45 $2.65 17.0% 2%
20260904 $3.40 $2.70 17.3% 4%
20260903 $3.45 $2.72 17.3% 4%
20260902 $2.77 $2.77 19.1% 20%
20260901 $2.80 $2.80 18.5% 15%
20260831 $2.77 $2.77 18.8% 18%
20260828 $2.83 $2.83 19.4% 23%
20260827 $2.92 $2.92 19.3% 22%
20260826 $2.95 $2.95 19.9% 26%
20260825 $3.05 $3.05 20.2% 26%
20260824 $3.10 $3.10 20.6% 29%
20260821 $3.08 $3.65 21.2% 30%
20260820 $3.20 $2.08 21.6% 32%
20260819 $3.17 $2.22 21.0% 28%
20260818 $3.30 $2.20 20.5% 25%
20260817 $3.25 $2.20 20.0% 21%
20260814 $3.30 $2.30 18.8% 13%
20260813 $3.40 $2.40 18.4% 11%
20260812 $3.45 $2.33 19.8% 20%
20260811 $3.20 $2.15 20.1% 22%
20260810 $4.80 $3.80 23.6% 45%
20260807 — — 21.6% 28%
20260806 $4.90 $4.05 21.8% 30%
20260805 $4.10 $4.10 22.8% 36%
20260804 $4.20 $4.20 28.2% 67%
20260803 $4.15 $4.15 23.3% 38%
20260731 $4.20 $4.20 20.0% 19%
20260730 $4.35 $4.35 19.5% 16%
20260729 $4.60 $4.60 21.8% 29%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.