REFI · Expected Move

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Common Stock

The expected move for REFI is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

REFI straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current REFI Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$8.68
7-Day Straddle
$8.68
30-Day ATM IV
36.3%
IV Rank
9%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to REFI's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
REFI Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261104 $8.68 $8.68 36.3% 9%
20261103 $1.75 $1.75 77.4% 43%
20261102 $2.88 $2.88 86.8% 45%
20261030 $2.60 $2.60 66.9% 30%
20261029 $2.55 $2.55 83.6% 42%
20261028 $2.33 $2.33 80.5% 40%
20261027 $2.33 $2.33 78.5% 39%
20261026 $2.25 $2.25 73.3% 35%
20261023 $2.33 $2.33 88.7% 46%
20261022 $1.58 $1.58 50.9% 19%
20261021 $2.35 $2.35 70.1% 33%
20261020 $1.60 $1.60 76.6% 37%
20261019 $1.25 $1.25 70.4% 33%
20261016 $1.75 $1.10 74.8% 36%
20261015 $1.75 $1.23 47.7% 17%
20261014 $1.82 $1.52 41.5% 12%
20261013 $1.77 $1.80 79.6% 40%
20261012 $1.77 $0.82 35.5% 8%
20261009 $1.98 $1.35 70.1% 33%
20261008 $1.45 $0.93 35.3% 8%
20261007 $1.70 $1.50 47.5% 16%
20261006 $1.25 $1.45 — —
20261005 $1.40 $1.77 48.2% 17%
20261002 $1.23 $1.23 — —
20261001 $1.32 $1.32 45.4% 15%
20260930 $1.65 $1.65 42.1% 12%
20260929 $1.68 $1.68 48.3% 17%
20260928 $1.38 $1.38 31.5% 5%
20260925 $1.00 $1.00 — —
20260924 $1.35 $1.35 42.2% 13%
20260923 $0.82 $0.82 34.1% 7%
20260922 $1.05 $1.05 54.1% 21%
20260921 $1.80 $1.80 45.8% 15%
20260918 $2.08 $1.67 53.7% 21%
20260917 $1.93 $2.00 53.2% 20%
20260916 $2.00 $1.93 47.8% 17%
20260915 $1.90 $1.67 41.6% 12%
20260914 $1.12 $1.32 57.7% 24%
20260911 $1.83 $1.57 42.1% 12%
20260910 $1.77 $1.35 41.2% 12%
20260909 $1.83 $0.95 40.7% 11%
20260908 $1.62 $1.38 44.8% 14%
20260904 $1.88 $1.12 65.1% 29%
20260903 $1.85 $1.32 40.5% 11%
20260902 $1.35 $1.35 49.6% 18%
20260901 $1.35 $1.35 43.0% 13%
20260831 $1.35 $1.35 48.2% 17%
20260828 $1.55 $1.55 47.8% 17%
20260827 $8.55 $8.55 48.2% 17%
20260826 $1.55 $1.55 48.3% 17%
20260825 $1.55 $1.55 45.0% 15%
20260824 $1.15 $1.15 43.2% 13%
20260821 $1.55 $8.32 46.9% 16%
20260820 $1.43 $8.38 53.9% 21%
20260819 $1.30 $1.00 46.3% 15%
20260818 $1.30 $1.12 — —
20260817 $0.95 $0.82 35.4% 8%
20260814 $1.30 $0.90 — —
20260813 $1.30 $1.05 45.3% 15%
20260812 $0.65 $1.12 24.8% 0%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.