RLI · Expected Move

RLI Corp.

The expected move for RLI is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

RLI straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current RLI Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.50
7-Day Straddle
$4.50
30-Day ATM IV
29.7%
IV Rank
15%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to RLI's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
RLI Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261019 $4.50 $4.50 29.7% 15%
20261016 $4.75 $2.85 30.7% 18%
20261015 $5.20 $3.58 34.4% 28%
20261014 $5.72 $3.90 32.1% 22%
20261013 $6.33 $5.20 28.0% 10%
20261012 $5.15 $4.93 30.9% 19%
20261009 $5.20 $4.90 33.5% 26%
20261008 $5.18 $4.90 31.2% 19%
20261007 $5.12 $3.08 34.7% 29%
20261006 $5.28 $4.90 30.8% 18%
20261005 $4.85 $3.58 29.7% 15%
20261002 $4.90 $4.90 27.7% 10%
20261001 $4.50 $4.50 30.1% 16%
20260930 $5.15 $5.15 31.9% 21%
20260929 $4.93 $4.93 33.1% 25%
20260928 $4.97 $4.97 32.9% 24%
20260925 $4.92 $4.92 31.8% 24%
20260924 $5.22 $5.22 30.2% 19%
20260923 $5.40 $5.40 33.8% 29%
20260922 $4.95 $4.95 34.9% 32%
20260921 $5.00 $5.00 36.3% 36%
20260918 $5.43 $4.80 40.8% 48%
20260917 $4.53 $1.23 28.5% 15%
20260916 $4.92 $4.80 24.6% 4%
20260915 $5.10 $4.80 26.5% 9%
20260914 $4.90 $4.67 26.9% 10%
20260911 $4.03 $4.80 27.1% 11%
20260910 $5.10 $4.88 27.7% 13%
20260909 $5.05 $4.80 26.8% 10%
20260908 $5.28 $4.92 27.3% 11%
20260904 $5.03 $2.70 31.3% 22%
20260903 $4.88 $1.93 28.3% 14%
20260902 $2.60 $2.60 24.2% 3%
20260901 $2.58 $2.58 24.8% 5%
20260831 $3.10 $3.10 27.1% 11%
20260828 $4.80 $4.80 27.7% 13%
20260827 $4.88 $4.88 31.1% 22%
20260826 $4.80 $4.80 33.1% 27%
20260825 $4.88 $4.88 29.9% 19%
20260824 $5.05 $5.05 26.4% 9%
20260821 $4.88 $3.52 28.8% 15%
20260820 $5.00 $4.80 29.3% 17%
20260819 $4.88 $4.15 28.9% 16%
20260818 $4.42 $2.95 28.0% 13%
20260817 $4.08 $5.22 33.3% 28%
20260814 $4.35 $4.90 29.0% 16%
20260813 $4.60 $3.03 27.9% 13%
20260812 $4.50 $3.60 28.7% 15%
20260811 $4.65 $4.88 28.3% 14%
20260810 $5.00 $4.78 32.4% 25%
20260807 — — 33.2% 27%
20260806 $6.53 $5.15 36.5% 36%
20260805 $5.17 $5.17 40.8% 48%
20260804 $4.95 $4.95 36.8% 37%
20260803 $5.03 $5.03 35.1% 33%
20260731 $4.88 $4.88 31.6% 23%
20260730 $5.15 $5.15 30.8% 21%
20260729 $4.95 $4.95 31.8% 24%
20260728 $5.05 $5.05 33.7% 29%
20260727 $4.08 $4.08 24.9% 5%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.