SHY · Expected Move

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF · ETF

The expected move for SHY is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

SHY straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current SHY Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$0.55
7-Day Straddle
$0.55
30-Day ATM IV
3.0%
IV Rank
13%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SHY's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
SHY Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $0.55 $0.55 3.0% 13%
20261020 $0.62 $0.62 3.2% 15%
20261019 $0.62 $0.62 3.1% 14%
20261016 $0.65 $0.40 3.2% 15%
20261015 $0.65 $0.38 3.0% 13%
20261014 $0.62 $0.30 3.0% 12%
20261013 $0.62 $0.30 2.9% 12%
20261012 $0.62 $0.30 3.5% 19%
20261009 $1.18 $0.45 4.7% 33%
20261008 $0.70 $0.40 3.1% 14%
20261007 $0.73 $0.35 3.3% 16%
20261006 $0.65 $0.30 2.9% 11%
20261005 $0.68 $0.33 2.9% 12%
20261002 $0.40 $0.40 3.0% 13%
20261001 $0.47 $0.47 3.4% 18%
20260930 $0.40 $0.40 3.2% 16%
20260929 $0.62 $0.62 3.7% 21%
20260928 $0.35 $0.35 2.9% 12%
20260925 $0.42 $0.42 3.1% 14%
20260924 $0.40 $0.40 2.9% 12%
20260923 $0.43 $0.43 2.8% 10%
20260922 $0.50 $0.50 3.0% 13%
20260921 $0.90 $0.90 4.3% 28%
20260918 $0.48 $0.30 3.0% 13%
20260917 $0.62 $0.38 3.6% 20%
20260916 $0.60 $0.33 3.2% 15%
20260915 $0.68 $0.43 3.3% 16%
20260914 $0.88 $0.45 10.4% 100%
20260911 $0.65 $3.02 3.3% 24%
20260910 $0.75 $0.95 4.8% 52%
20260909 $0.55 $1.15 3.1% 21%
20260908 $0.50 $0.40 2.9% 17%
20260904 $0.68 $0.38 4.3% 36%
20260903 $0.62 $0.38 3.0% 16%
20260902 $0.42 $0.42 2.8% 13%
20260901 $0.55 $0.55 5.9% 60%
20260831 $0.40 $0.40 2.4% 7%
20260828 $0.33 $0.33 2.2% 4%
20260827 $0.32 $0.32 3.3% 22%
20260826 $0.25 $0.25 2.2% 4%
20260825 $0.30 $0.30 2.0% 2%
20260824 $0.23 $0.23 1.9% 0%
20260821 $0.40 $0.08 2.4% 6%
20260820 $0.40 $0.12 2.2% 4%
20260819 $0.38 $0.42 2.6% 9%
20260818 $0.82 $0.12 2.3% 2%
20260817 $0.40 $0.12 2.1% 1%
20260814 $0.33 $0.50 1.9% 0%
20260813 $0.35 $0.20 2.0% 0%
20260812 $0.93 $0.60 4.5% 16%
20260811 $0.48 $0.78 2.5% 3%
20260810 $0.50 $0.30 2.7% 4%
20260807 — — 4.9% 18%
20260806 $0.55 $0.32 2.5% 3%
20260805 $0.40 $0.40 4.0% 13%
20260804 $0.35 $0.35 2.6% 3%
20260803 $2.75 $2.75 3.1% 7%
20260731 $0.40 $0.40 2.5% 3%
20260730 $0.40 $0.40 2.5% 3%
20260729 $0.40 $0.40 2.6% 3%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.