SMCL · Expected Move
GraniteShares 2x Long SMCI Daily ETF · ETF
The expected move for SMCL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
SMCL straddle price & implied vol
59 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: average implied volatility (right axis).
Current SMCL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.35
7-Day Straddle
$4.35
Avg IV
162.7%
IV Rank
6%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SMCL's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
SMCL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | Avg IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261002 | $4.35 | $4.35 | 162.7% | 6% |
| 20261001 | $4.32 | $4.32 | 152.4% | 4% |
| 20260930 | $4.50 | $4.50 | 216.0% | 18% |
| 20260929 | $4.43 | $4.43 | 165.2% | 7% |
| 20260928 | $4.95 | $4.95 | 216.5% | 18% |
| 20260925 | $5.78 | $5.78 | 158.7% | 5% |
| 20260924 | $5.55 | $5.55 | 187.6% | 12% |
| 20260923 | $5.68 | $5.68 | 179.7% | 10% |
| 20260922 | $5.85 | $5.85 | 152.9% | 4% |
| 20260921 | $5.92 | $5.92 | 153.5% | 4% |
| 20260918 | $5.28 | $5.25 | 147.0% | 3% |
| 20260917 | $5.92 | $1.30 | 147.4% | 3% |
| 20260916 | $4.67 | $1.75 | 145.4% | 3% |
| 20260915 | $4.68 | $1.70 | 164.6% | 7% |
| 20260914 | $4.97 | $1.97 | 168.6% | 8% |
| 20260911 | $6.40 | $2.88 | 139.2% | 1% |
| 20260910 | $5.53 | $2.67 | 170.9% | 3% |
| 20260909 | $6.35 | $3.25 | 168.5% | 3% |
| 20260908 | $7.07 | $3.72 | 171.4% | 3% |
| 20260904 | $6.90 | $3.80 | 149.4% | 1% |
| 20260903 | $6.33 | $3.60 | 133.3% | 0% |
| 20260902 | $3.68 | $3.68 | 3.5% | 15% |
| 20260901 | $3.88 | $3.88 | 3.4% | 14% |
| 20260831 | $3.92 | $3.92 | 3.4% | 14% |
| 20260828 | $4.15 | $4.15 | 3.1% | 12% |
| 20260827 | $4.83 | $4.83 | 275.4% | 9% |
| 20260826 | $4.60 | $4.60 | 3.0% | 11% |
| 20260825 | $5.25 | $5.25 | 292.3% | 11% |
| 20260824 | $4.25 | $4.25 | 296.0% | 11% |
| 20260821 | $5.47 | $3.75 | 276.9% | 9% |
| 20260820 | $5.53 | $1.30 | 281.4% | 10% |
| 20260819 | $5.35 | $1.55 | 271.1% | 9% |
| 20260818 | $5.58 | $2.02 | 264.0% | 8% |
| 20260817 | $6.38 | $2.60 | 266.4% | 9% |
| 20260814 | $7.30 | $3.20 | 248.2% | 7% |
| 20260813 | $7.28 | $3.48 | 249.0% | 7% |
| 20260812 | $6.45 | $3.40 | 236.2% | 6% |
| 20260811 | $5.67 | $4.15 | 3.0% | 11% |
| 20260810 | $5.90 | $3.88 | 291.4% | 11% |
| 20260806 | $6.00 | $4.10 | 3.0% | 11% |
| 20260805 | $4.17 | $4.17 | 241.1% | 7% |
| 20260804 | $5.00 | $5.00 | 235.1% | 6% |
| 20260803 | $4.00 | $4.00 | 232.0% | 6% |
| 20260731 | $4.05 | $4.05 | 221.0% | 5% |
| 20260730 | $3.90 | $3.90 | 213.6% | 4% |
| 20260729 | $3.58 | $3.58 | 221.7% | 5% |
| 20260728 | $4.45 | $4.45 | 204.1% | 4% |
| 20260727 | $4.72 | $4.72 | 205.7% | 4% |
| 20260724 | $5.12 | $5.12 | 203.8% | 4% |
| 20260723 | $6.00 | $6.00 | 212.5% | 5% |
| 20260722 | $5.78 | $5.78 | 212.0% | 5% |
| 20260721 | $3.95 | $3.95 | 217.3% | 6% |
| 20260720 | $3.90 | $3.90 | 222.3% | 6% |
| 20260716 | $3.97 | $0.90 | 209.4% | 5% |
| 20260715 | $4.78 | $1.10 | 205.2% | 5% |
| 20260714 | $5.22 | $1.55 | 200.5% | 4% |
| 20260713 | $5.30 | $1.65 | 196.9% | 4% |
| 20260710 | $5.85 | $2.05 | 195.8% | 4% |
| 20260709 | $5.97 | $2.33 | 198.9% | 4% |
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.