SMCX · Expected Move
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SMCI ETF · ETF
The expected move for SMCX is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
SMCX straddle price & implied vol
59 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: average implied volatility (right axis).
Current SMCX Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.15
7-Day Straddle
$3.15
Avg IV
180.1%
IV Rank
11%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SMCX's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
SMCX Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | Avg IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261002 | $3.15 | $3.15 | 180.1% | 11% |
| 20261001 | $2.92 | $2.92 | 154.0% | 3% |
| 20260930 | $3.17 | $3.17 | 183.8% | 12% |
| 20260929 | $3.38 | $3.38 | 160.0% | 4% |
| 20260928 | $3.50 | $3.50 | 157.0% | 3% |
| 20260925 | $4.08 | $4.08 | 151.6% | 2% |
| 20260924 | $3.77 | $3.77 | 173.2% | 9% |
| 20260923 | $3.88 | $3.88 | 166.1% | 6% |
| 20260922 | $4.22 | $4.22 | 167.3% | 7% |
| 20260921 | $4.10 | $4.10 | 159.3% | 4% |
| 20260918 | $3.90 | $6.95 | 145.9% | 0% |
| 20260917 | $4.08 | $6.45 | 148.4% | 1% |
| 20260916 | $3.45 | $5.80 | 153.4% | 2% |
| 20260915 | $3.40 | $5.78 | 156.6% | 3% |
| 20260914 | $3.58 | $5.55 | 160.0% | 4% |
| 20260911 | $4.68 | $7.75 | 145.9% | 0% |
| 20260910 | $4.12 | $6.25 | 150.0% | 1% |
| 20260909 | $4.62 | $6.80 | 159.8% | 4% |
| 20260908 | $5.35 | $7.45 | 171.0% | 7% |
| 20260904 | $4.97 | $6.65 | 153.5% | 2% |
| 20260903 | $4.38 | $6.55 | 148.3% | 0% |
| 20260902 | $6.90 | $6.90 | 3.0% | 45% |
| 20260901 | $6.55 | $6.55 | 288.2% | 41% |
| 20260831 | $6.35 | $6.35 | 290.9% | 42% |
| 20260828 | $6.38 | $6.38 | 246.2% | 27% |
| 20260827 | $6.98 | $6.98 | 258.6% | 31% |
| 20260826 | $6.17 | $6.17 | 262.8% | 32% |
| 20260825 | $7.00 | $7.00 | 258.7% | 31% |
| 20260824 | $6.03 | $6.03 | 264.5% | 33% |
| 20260821 | $6.53 | $0.70 | 246.1% | 27% |
| 20260820 | $6.62 | $1.07 | 250.8% | 28% |
| 20260819 | $6.58 | $1.10 | 244.1% | 26% |
| 20260818 | $6.38 | $1.60 | 239.7% | 25% |
| 20260817 | $7.00 | $1.67 | 241.7% | 25% |
| 20260814 | $7.88 | $2.30 | 215.9% | 17% |
| 20260813 | $7.83 | $2.70 | 230.3% | 22% |
| 20260812 | $7.62 | $2.55 | 218.7% | 18% |
| 20260811 | $5.17 | $2.98 | 265.0% | 33% |
| 20260810 | $5.00 | $2.80 | 259.6% | 31% |
| 20260806 | $4.67 | $2.88 | 267.1% | 34% |
| 20260805 | $3.08 | $3.08 | 263.0% | 32% |
| 20260804 | $3.28 | $3.28 | 253.9% | 29% |
| 20260803 | $2.95 | $2.95 | 255.8% | 30% |
| 20260731 | $2.97 | $2.97 | 243.8% | 26% |
| 20260730 | $2.70 | $2.70 | 256.4% | 30% |
| 20260729 | $2.65 | $2.65 | 262.1% | 32% |
| 20260728 | $3.23 | $3.23 | 222.4% | 19% |
| 20260727 | $3.73 | $3.73 | 227.0% | 20% |
| 20260724 | $3.82 | $3.82 | 225.2% | 20% |
| 20260723 | $4.32 | $4.32 | 217.4% | 19% |
| 20260722 | $4.28 | $4.28 | 212.6% | 20% |
| 20260721 | $2.83 | $2.83 | 237.3% | 27% |
| 20260720 | $2.80 | $2.80 | 240.1% | 30% |
| 20260716 | $2.95 | $0.55 | 229.9% | 27% |
| 20260715 | $3.50 | $0.80 | 216.8% | 23% |
| 20260714 | $3.83 | $1.02 | 212.3% | 22% |
| 20260713 | $3.88 | $1.23 | 216.2% | 23% |
| 20260710 | $4.22 | $1.32 | 207.2% | 20% |
| 20260709 | $4.38 | $1.50 | 210.2% | 23% |
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.