SMCY · Expected Move
YieldMax SMCI Option Income Strategy ETF · ETF
The expected move for SMCY is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
SMCY straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current SMCY Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.90
7-Day Straddle
$2.90
30-Day ATM IV
161.7%
IV Rank
100%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SMCY's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
SMCY Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20260302 | $2.90 | $2.90 | 161.7% | 100% |
| 20260227 | $0.95 | $0.95 | — | — |
| 20260226 | $1.20 | $1.20 | — | — |
| 20260225 | $1.10 | $1.10 | — | — |
| 20260224 | $1.18 | $1.18 | — | — |
| 20260223 | $1.00 | $1.00 | — | — |
| 20260221 | $1.20 | $1.20 | — | — |
| 20260220 | $1.20 | $0.30 | 51.5% | 19% |
| 20260219 | $1.42 | $0.43 | 75.1% | 38% |
| 20260218 | $1.27 | $0.68 | — | — |
| 20260217 | $1.22 | $8.00 | 74.1% | 38% |
| 20260213 | $1.23 | $0.82 | 76.6% | 40% |
| 20260212 | $2.12 | $0.67 | 147.8% | 99% |
| 20260211 | $2.10 | $1.00 | 80.1% | 43% |
| 20260210 | $1.48 | $0.85 | 58.9% | 25% |
| 20260209 | $2.10 | $0.97 | 75.2% | 38% |
| 20260206 | $2.25 | $1.38 | 54.7% | 21% |
| 20260205 | $1.55 | $0.90 | — | — |
| 20260204 | $1.65 | $1.65 | 49.3% | 17% |
| 20260203 | $0.95 | $0.95 | 98.5% | 58% |
| 20260202 | $0.98 | $0.98 | 55.2% | 22% |
| 20260130 | $1.02 | $1.02 | — | — |
| 20260129 | $0.88 | $0.88 | 76.0% | 40% |
| 20260128 | $1.70 | $1.70 | 83.4% | 46% |
| 20260127 | $1.67 | $1.67 | — | — |
| 20260126 | $1.20 | $1.20 | 88.0% | 50% |
| 20260123 | $1.20 | $1.20 | 80.8% | 45% |
| 20260122 | $1.33 | $1.33 | 87.6% | 50% |
| 20260121 | $1.15 | $1.15 | 108.8% | 67% |
| 20260120 | $1.38 | $1.38 | 63.7% | 31% |
| 20260116 | $1.85 | $2.33 | — | — |
| 20260115 | $1.15 | $0.25 | — | — |
| 20260114 | $8.45 | $0.45 | — | — |
| 20260113 | $2.05 | $2.12 | 80.5% | 44% |
| 20260112 | $1.33 | $0.50 | 60.4% | 28% |
| 20260109 | $1.48 | $0.60 | 73.8% | 39% |
| 20260108 | $1.50 | $1.15 | 149.2% | 100% |
| 20260107 | $1.43 | $0.62 | 59.1% | 36% |
| 20260106 | $1.10 | $1.27 | 48.3% | 24% |
| 20260105 | $1.35 | $8.05 | — | — |
| 20260102 | $0.75 | $0.75 | 50.2% | 26% |
| 20251231 | $1.25 | $1.25 | — | — |
| 20251230 | $1.25 | $1.25 | — | — |
| 20251229 | $1.27 | $1.27 | — | — |
| 20251226 | $1.35 | $1.35 | — | — |
| 20251224 | $1.40 | $1.40 | — | — |
| 20251223 | $0.98 | $0.98 | 39.1% | 14% |
| 20251222 | $1.00 | $1.00 | 69.7% | 47% |
| 20251219 | $1.17 | $0.82 | 46.6% | 22% |
| 20251218 | $1.75 | $1.83 | — | — |
| 20251217 | $1.77 | $1.90 | 76.7% | 55% |
| 20251216 | $2.15 | $2.77 | 57.3% | 34% |
| 20251215 | $1.35 | $0.53 | — | — |
| 20251212 | $1.27 | $0.65 | 118.1% | 100% |
| 20251211 | $1.38 | $0.78 | — | — |
| 20251210 | $1.35 | $1.05 | 41.2% | 20% |
| 20251209 | $1.60 | $1.30 | — | — |
| 20251208 | $3.50 | $0.55 | 74.4% | 64% |
| 20251205 | $2.38 | $1.33 | 39.5% | 18% |
| 20251204 | $1.42 | $0.65 | 50.7% | 33% |
More on SMCY
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.