SMHX · Expected Move

VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF · ETF

The expected move for SMHX is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

SMHX straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current SMHX Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$5.53
7-Day Straddle
$5.53
30-Day ATM IV
45.8%
IV Rank
51%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SMHX's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
SMHX Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $5.53 $5.53 45.8% 51%
20261021 $5.97 $5.97 46.5% 53%
20261020 $5.47 $5.47 42.8% 38%
20261019 $5.55 $5.55 42.8% 38%
20261016 $5.20 $3.73 39.3% 29%
20261015 $5.20 $1.25 36.9% 23%
20261014 $5.38 $2.35 36.5% 22%
20261013 $5.60 $2.10 35.3% 19%
20261012 $5.20 $2.02 33.8% 15%
20261009 $5.78 $2.65 35.2% 19%
20261008 $5.88 $3.28 36.0% 20%
20261007 $5.83 $2.58 33.2% 13%
20261006 $6.08 $2.10 32.4% 12%
20261005 $6.25 $3.00 34.5% 17%
20261002 $3.20 $3.20 36.3% 21%
20261001 $3.67 $3.67 36.5% 22%
20260930 $3.33 $3.33 35.7% 20%
20260929 $3.62 $3.62 36.2% 21%
20260928 $3.47 $3.47 35.5% 19%
20260925 $4.15 $4.15 35.4% 19%
20260924 $3.98 $3.98 34.6% 17%
20260923 $4.10 $4.10 35.0% 18%
20260922 $4.28 $4.28 34.5% 17%
20260921 $3.98 $3.98 33.2% 14%
20260918 $3.95 $5.00 29.6% 5%
20260917 $3.48 $1.48 27.7% 0%
20260916 $3.95 $1.62 32.7% 9%
20260915 $4.12 $1.95 31.9% 7%
20260914 $4.30 $2.15 33.4% 11%
20260911 $4.62 $2.12 32.7% 9%
20260910 $4.53 $2.33 33.3% 11%
20260909 $5.17 $2.77 34.4% 14%
20260908 $5.30 $2.88 35.8% 17%
20260904 $4.88 $2.65 31.1% 5%
20260903 $4.42 $2.38 29.1% 0%
20260902 $2.92 $2.92 31.0% 1%
20260901 $2.85 $2.85 30.7% 0%
20260831 $3.15 $3.15 30.6% 0%
20260828 $3.53 $3.53 33.4% 0%
20260827 $3.88 $3.88 33.8% 0%
20260826 $3.95 $3.95 35.6% 0%
20260825 $4.20 $4.20 37.1% 0%
20260824 $4.30 $4.30 37.8% 1%
20260821 $4.70 $3.33 37.5% 1%
20260820 $4.90 $1.55 38.6% 4%
20260819 $4.95 $1.80 38.6% 4%
20260818 $5.15 $2.65 38.9% 5%
20260817 $5.38 $2.23 37.4% 0%
20260814 $5.45 $2.25 37.7% 0%
20260813 $5.85 $2.55 39.6% 0%
20260812 $6.05 $2.88 40.5% 4%
20260811 $6.17 $3.23 42.5% 10%
20260810 $6.88 $3.58 45.1% 20%
20260807 — — 44.1% 16%
20260806 $8.25 $5.05 52.1% 44%
20260805 $5.47 $5.47 56.3% 59%
20260804 $6.35 $6.35 58.4% 66%
20260803 $4.62 $4.62 51.9% 43%
20260731 $6.03 $6.03 56.5% 59%
20260730 $6.15 $6.15 58.0% 65%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.