SMOG · Expected Move

VanEck Low Carbon Energy ETF · ETF

The expected move for SMOG is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

SMOG straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current SMOG Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$7.67
7-Day Straddle
$7.67
30-Day ATM IV
26.2%
IV Rank
55%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SMOG's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
SMOG Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $7.67 $7.67 26.2% 55%
20261021 $7.70 $7.70 25.4% 43%
20261020 $8.00 $8.00 26.0% 52%
20261019 $8.25 $8.25 26.4% 57%
20261016 $8.45 $4.95 26.2% 54%
20261015 $8.50 $4.97 25.5% 45%
20261014 $8.68 $5.00 25.7% 48%
20261013 $9.00 $4.97 25.9% 50%
20261012 $9.00 $5.03 25.4% 44%
20261009 $9.35 $5.22 26.5% 58%
20261008 $9.00 $5.10 25.2% 41%
20261007 $9.50 $5.07 25.6% 46%
20261006 $9.75 $5.30 25.9% 50%
20261005 $9.80 $5.30 25.9% 50%
20261002 $5.30 $5.30 25.1% 40%
20261001 $5.90 $5.90 26.6% 60%
20260930 $5.80 $5.80 25.9% 56%
20260929 $5.38 $5.38 24.8% 44%
20260928 $6.05 $6.05 24.7% 42%
20260925 $5.75 $5.75 23.2% 25%
20260924 $6.00 $6.00 23.7% 38%
20260923 $6.30 $6.30 23.8% 39%
20260922 $6.25 $6.25 22.7% 28%
20260921 $6.65 $6.65 23.0% 32%
20260918 $7.25 $4.80 23.7% 43%
20260917 $8.07 $4.80 25.8% 64%
20260916 $6.97 $4.97 22.7% 34%
20260915 $7.50 $4.85 23.9% 45%
20260914 $7.60 $5.07 23.7% 44%
20260911 $7.55 $4.97 22.4% 31%
20260910 $7.75 $5.10 23.1% 37%
20260909 $8.43 $4.97 24.1% 47%
20260908 $8.25 $5.10 23.2% 38%
20260904 $8.65 $5.10 23.0% 37%
20260903 $8.27 $5.28 22.1% 28%
20260902 $5.42 $5.42 23.1% 38%
20260901 $5.55 $5.55 23.2% 39%
20260831 $5.70 $5.70 22.8% 35%
20260828 $6.05 $6.05 23.0% 36%
20260827 $6.50 $6.50 23.5% 41%
20260826 $6.70 $6.70 23.5% 41%
20260825 $6.50 $6.50 22.8% 35%
20260824 $7.00 $7.00 24.2% 48%
20260821 $7.50 $4.80 24.3% 49%
20260820 $7.75 $3.50 24.9% 54%
20260819 $7.65 $4.80 24.0% 46%
20260818 $7.55 $5.07 23.6% 43%
20260817 $8.25 $5.17 24.8% 54%
20260814 $9.00 $5.30 26.2% 67%
20260813 $9.00 $5.17 25.7% 62%
20260812 $9.07 $5.10 25.4% 59%
20260811 $8.80 $5.20 25.0% 56%
20260810 $10.00 $6.00 28.0% 84%
20260807 — — 28.7% 91%
20260806 $11.00 $7.00 29.4% 97%
20260805 $7.50 $7.50 29.5% 98%
20260804 $6.88 $6.88 27.5% 80%
20260803 $6.95 $6.95 27.3% 77%
20260731 $7.75 $7.75 28.6% 90%
20260730 $7.75 $7.75 28.2% 86%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.