SMST · Expected Move
Tidal Trust II Defiance Daily Target 2x Short MSTR ETF · ETF
The expected move for SMST is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
SMST straddle price & implied vol
59 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: average implied volatility (right axis).
Current SMST Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.70
7-Day Straddle
$2.70
Avg IV
3.6%
IV Rank
100%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SMST's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
SMST Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | Avg IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261002 | $2.70 | $2.70 | 3.6% | 100% |
| 20261001 | $2.48 | $2.48 | 3.4% | 100% |
| 20260930 | $2.75 | $2.75 | 3.2% | 98% |
| 20260929 | $3.15 | $3.15 | 3.2% | 100% |
| 20260928 | $2.85 | $2.85 | 3.1% | 100% |
| 20260925 | $3.08 | $3.08 | 290.7% | 95% |
| 20260924 | $3.08 | $3.08 | 296.6% | 99% |
| 20260923 | $3.22 | $3.22 | 273.6% | 84% |
| 20260922 | $3.42 | $3.42 | 298.0% | 100% |
| 20260921 | $3.70 | $3.70 | 276.7% | 100% |
| 20260918 | $4.82 | $3.50 | 262.4% | 93% |
| 20260917 | $6.10 | $1.42 | 187.2% | 32% |
| 20260916 | $7.10 | $2.27 | 183.9% | 29% |
| 20260915 | $7.22 | $3.15 | 181.0% | 27% |
| 20260914 | $6.95 | $2.58 | 189.6% | 34% |
| 20260911 | $7.12 | $3.48 | 170.8% | 18% |
| 20260910 | $7.70 | $3.72 | 175.0% | 22% |
| 20260909 | $8.00 | $4.15 | 173.0% | 20% |
| 20260908 | $7.22 | $4.20 | 174.4% | 21% |
| 20260904 | $6.95 | $4.07 | 182.3% | 28% |
| 20260903 | $8.05 | $4.60 | 185.1% | 30% |
| 20260902 | $6.10 | $6.10 | 260.3% | 92% |
| 20260901 | $6.28 | $6.28 | 270.7% | 100% |
| 20260831 | $5.42 | $5.42 | 264.2% | 98% |
| 20260828 | $6.58 | $6.58 | 253.9% | 89% |
| 20260827 | $6.90 | $6.90 | 267.1% | 100% |
| 20260826 | $8.25 | $8.25 | 233.0% | 96% |
| 20260825 | $8.20 | $8.20 | 236.8% | 100% |
| 20260824 | $10.25 | $10.25 | 221.2% | 84% |
| 20260821 | $10.65 | $10.00 | 210.3% | 72% |
| 20260820 | $12.05 | $4.42 | 195.6% | 59% |
| 20260819 | $14.15 | $5.05 | 177.3% | 41% |
| 20260818 | $18.65 | $5.65 | 156.0% | 24% |
| 20260817 | $16.30 | $6.55 | 160.4% | 28% |
| 20260814 | $18.20 | $7.88 | 150.1% | 18% |
| 20260813 | $17.80 | $9.05 | 154.4% | 22% |
| 20260812 | $19.45 | $8.97 | 150.6% | 19% |
| 20260811 | $19.50 | $9.62 | 148.6% | 17% |
| 20260810 | $19.65 | $10.90 | 161.5% | 29% |
| 20260806 | $21.45 | $12.75 | 162.4% | 30% |
| 20260805 | $12.15 | $12.15 | 162.9% | 31% |
| 20260804 | $13.40 | $13.40 | 164.3% | 32% |
| 20260803 | $15.70 | $15.70 | 163.5% | 31% |
| 20260731 | $17.05 | $17.05 | 157.9% | 26% |
| 20260730 | $16.95 | $16.95 | 163.8% | 31% |
| 20260729 | $19.95 | $19.95 | 168.6% | 36% |
| 20260728 | $18.20 | $18.20 | 168.0% | 35% |
| 20260727 | $18.00 | $18.00 | 170.7% | 38% |
| 20260724 | $23.10 | $23.10 | 165.2% | 33% |
| 20260723 | $23.20 | $23.20 | 168.6% | 36% |
| 20260722 | $20.50 | $20.50 | 171.4% | 39% |
| 20260721 | $19.35 | $19.35 | 176.9% | 44% |
| 20260720 | $23.20 | $23.20 | 174.6% | 42% |
| 20260716 | $27.30 | $6.07 | 174.8% | 42% |
| 20260715 | $25.30 | $6.47 | 178.3% | 45% |
| 20260714 | $27.00 | $8.00 | 183.4% | 50% |
| 20260713 | $31.10 | $11.10 | 178.3% | 45% |
| 20260710 | $31.25 | $11.60 | 182.0% | 49% |
| 20260709 | $32.35 | $12.95 | 185.5% | 52% |
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.