SMU · Expected Move

Tradr 2X Long SMR Daily ETF · ETF

The expected move for SMU is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

SMU straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current SMU Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$5.80
7-Day Straddle
$5.80
30-Day ATM IV
172.9%
IV Rank
40%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SMU's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
SMU Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $5.80 $5.80 172.9% 40%
20261020 $5.88 $5.88 174.4% 38%
20261019 $5.72 $5.72 170.6% 34%
20261016 $5.67 $6.33 165.9% 28%
20261015 $6.58 $6.58 168.0% 31%
20261014 $5.67 $12.75 162.0% 23%
20261013 $4.35 $8.03 155.8% 16%
20261012 $4.25 $7.92 148.5% 8%
20261009 $4.95 $9.43 141.7% 0%
20261008 $5.50 $10.38 148.1% 7%
20261007 $6.22 $11.07 152.8% 12%
20261006 $6.80 $11.62 150.3% 10%
20261005 $6.25 $10.88 146.9% 6%
20261002 $10.78 $10.78 146.8% 6%
20261001 $11.82 $11.82 149.8% 9%
20260930 $11.72 $11.72 149.9% 9%
20260929 $10.82 $10.82 145.5% 4%
20260928 $11.80 $11.80 148.7% 8%
20260925 $4.80 $4.80 150.5% 10%
20260924 $5.30 $5.30 151.4% 11%
20260923 $5.40 $5.40 147.1% 6%
20260922 $11.08 $11.08 — —
20260921 $1.77 $1.77 169.0% 30%
20260918 $1.45 $4.40 146.0% 5%
20260917 $1.72 $3.52 — —
20260916 $1.75 $3.83 149.0% 8%
20260915 $1.65 $3.75 141.6% 0%
20260914 $1.77 $3.73 150.3% 4%
20260911 $1.98 $3.65 161.1% 16%
20260910 $2.83 $4.92 160.9% 16%
20260909 $3.17 $5.62 158.5% 13%
20260908 $3.80 $6.42 169.7% 27%
20260904 $2.75 $5.12 149.5% 3%
20260903 $2.85 $5.12 148.7% 2%
20260902 $4.20 $4.20 152.3% 6%
20260901 $4.35 $4.35 156.2% 11%
20260831 $4.33 $4.33 153.8% 8%
20260828 $4.33 $4.33 154.0% 8%
20260827 $5.12 $5.12 162.5% 18%
20260826 $4.33 $4.33 158.6% 13%
20260825 $5.03 $5.03 171.0% 28%
20260824 $4.35 $4.35 160.2% 15%
20260821 $4.22 $8.00 155.5% 10%
20260820 $5.08 $0.62 155.7% 10%
20260819 $4.33 $0.72 147.2% 0%
20260818 $3.52 $8.25 154.4% 0%
20260817 $4.45 $1.33 170.1% 8%
20260814 $5.17 $1.35 — —
20260813 $4.97 $1.40 166.2% 2%
20260812 $5.08 $1.50 171.4% 10%
20260811 $4.97 $1.52 164.7% 0%
20260810 $3.98 $2.05 176.7% 4%
20260807 — — 175.7% 2%
20260806 $4.67 $1.92 188.6% 25%
20260805 $2.40 $2.40 207.0% 57%
20260804 $2.45 $2.45 205.3% 54%
20260803 $2.10 $2.10 194.6% 35%
20260731 $2.02 $2.02 199.3% 43%
20260730 $2.35 $2.35 205.1% 53%
20260729 $2.23 $2.23 206.9% 57%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.