SOFX · Expected Move
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SOFI ETF · ETF
The expected move for SOFX is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
SOFX straddle price & implied vol
59 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: average implied volatility (right axis).
Current SOFX Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$0.90
7-Day Straddle
$0.90
Avg IV
215.3%
IV Rank
65%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SOFX's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
SOFX Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | Avg IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261002 | $0.90 | $0.90 | 215.3% | 65% |
| 20261001 | $0.90 | $0.90 | 163.3% | 40% |
| 20260930 | $1.05 | $1.05 | 224.0% | 69% |
| 20260929 | $1.10 | $1.10 | 197.6% | 56% |
| 20260928 | $1.18 | $1.18 | 129.1% | 24% |
| 20260925 | $1.32 | $1.32 | 167.5% | 42% |
| 20260924 | $1.38 | $1.38 | 156.3% | 37% |
| 20260923 | $1.40 | $1.40 | 120.0% | 20% |
| 20260922 | $1.57 | $1.57 | 145.5% | 32% |
| 20260921 | $1.48 | $1.48 | 99.8% | 10% |
| 20260918 | $1.60 | $0.12 | 77.5% | 0% |
| 20260917 | $1.70 | $0.33 | 126.9% | 21% |
| 20260916 | $1.83 | $0.62 | 116.1% | 16% |
| 20260915 | $1.93 | $0.72 | 104.9% | 11% |
| 20260914 | $1.93 | $0.82 | 143.2% | 29% |
| 20260911 | $2.10 | $0.90 | 82.1% | 0% |
| 20260910 | $2.02 | $1.10 | 116.5% | 11% |
| 20260909 | $2.17 | $1.12 | 120.0% | 13% |
| 20260908 | $2.35 | $1.35 | 116.6% | 12% |
| 20260904 | $2.55 | $1.50 | 104.6% | 5% |
| 20260903 | $2.62 | $1.57 | 93.9% | 0% |
| 20260902 | $1.43 | $1.43 | 209.7% | 59% |
| 20260901 | $1.43 | $1.43 | 268.6% | 89% |
| 20260831 | $1.52 | $1.52 | 248.7% | 79% |
| 20260828 | $1.73 | $1.73 | 148.1% | 27% |
| 20260827 | $2.12 | $2.12 | 134.1% | 20% |
| 20260826 | $2.15 | $2.15 | 136.5% | 21% |
| 20260825 | $2.33 | $2.33 | 135.3% | 20% |
| 20260824 | $2.08 | $2.08 | 224.3% | 66% |
| 20260821 | $2.38 | $0.53 | 125.6% | 16% |
| 20260820 | $2.08 | $0.65 | 208.4% | 58% |
| 20260819 | $2.05 | $0.68 | 117.9% | 12% |
| 20260818 | $2.08 | $0.62 | 131.0% | 18% |
| 20260817 | $2.05 | $0.90 | 120.6% | 13% |
| 20260814 | $2.12 | $0.82 | 186.8% | 47% |
| 20260813 | $2.48 | $1.02 | 159.0% | 33% |
| 20260812 | $2.35 | $1.12 | 155.3% | 31% |
| 20260811 | $2.50 | $1.23 | 116.2% | 11% |
| 20260810 | $2.60 | $1.35 | 113.2% | 9% |
| 20260806 | $2.72 | $1.57 | 140.0% | 23% |
| 20260805 | $1.55 | $1.55 | 123.6% | 15% |
| 20260804 | $1.77 | $1.77 | 106.3% | 6% |
| 20260803 | $1.85 | $1.85 | 95.3% | 0% |
| 20260731 | $1.50 | $1.50 | 134.4% | 19% |
| 20260730 | $1.70 | $1.70 | 104.1% | 4% |
| 20260729 | $1.70 | $1.70 | 175.4% | 41% |
| 20260728 | $2.55 | $2.55 | 123.0% | 14% |
| 20260727 | $2.50 | $2.50 | 119.6% | 12% |
| 20260724 | $2.35 | $2.35 | 96.8% | 0% |
| 20260723 | $2.65 | $2.65 | 112.2% | 7% |
| 20260722 | $2.73 | $2.73 | 136.5% | 19% |
| 20260721 | $3.10 | $3.10 | 116.6% | 9% |
| 20260720 | $2.88 | $2.88 | 116.3% | 9% |
| 20260716 | $3.38 | $0.70 | 130.2% | 16% |
| 20260715 | $3.50 | $0.88 | 116.0% | 9% |
| 20260714 | $3.85 | $1.10 | 128.2% | 15% |
| 20260713 | $3.70 | $1.15 | 140.6% | 21% |
| 20260710 | $3.70 | $1.43 | 124.8% | 13% |
| 20260709 | $4.08 | $1.60 | 124.5% | 13% |
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.