SW · Expected Move
Smurfit Westrock plc
The expected move for SW is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
SW straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current SW Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.67
7-Day Straddle
$4.67
30-Day ATM IV
48.0%
IV Rank
76%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to SW's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
SW Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261021 | $4.67 | $4.67 | 48.0% | 76% |
| 20261020 | $4.67 | $4.67 | 47.6% | 74% |
| 20261019 | $4.32 | $4.32 | 44.4% | 54% |
| 20261016 | $4.95 | $1.38 | 46.8% | 69% |
| 20261015 | $4.70 | $1.35 | 44.4% | 54% |
| 20261014 | $4.40 | $1.32 | 42.1% | 39% |
| 20261013 | $4.80 | $1.82 | 43.8% | 50% |
| 20261012 | $4.53 | $1.70 | 42.2% | 39% |
| 20261009 | $4.82 | $2.20 | 43.0% | 45% |
| 20261008 | $4.97 | $2.20 | 43.9% | 51% |
| 20261007 | $5.10 | $2.27 | 43.8% | 49% |
| 20261006 | $5.47 | $3.05 | 43.5% | 48% |
| 20261005 | $5.47 | $3.00 | 43.4% | 47% |
| 20261002 | $3.30 | $3.30 | 44.0% | 51% |
| 20261001 | $3.07 | $3.07 | 43.4% | 47% |
| 20260930 | $2.92 | $2.92 | 42.2% | 40% |
| 20260929 | $3.08 | $3.08 | 42.1% | 39% |
| 20260928 | $3.08 | $3.08 | 41.6% | 36% |
| 20260925 | $3.38 | $3.38 | 39.8% | 24% |
| 20260924 | $3.35 | $3.35 | 38.6% | 17% |
| 20260923 | $3.70 | $3.70 | 38.9% | 19% |
| 20260922 | $3.57 | $3.57 | 39.0% | 19% |
| 20260921 | $3.58 | $3.58 | 38.9% | 19% |
| 20260918 | $3.75 | $0.70 | 38.1% | 13% |
| 20260917 | $3.83 | $1.07 | 37.0% | 6% |
| 20260916 | $3.67 | $1.32 | 36.2% | 2% |
| 20260915 | $4.05 | $1.98 | 39.1% | 19% |
| 20260914 | $3.95 | $1.93 | 38.6% | 16% |
| 20260911 | $4.35 | $2.65 | 38.7% | 17% |
| 20260910 | $4.62 | $2.95 | 40.1% | 26% |
| 20260909 | $4.70 | $2.92 | 39.2% | 21% |
| 20260908 | $4.70 | $2.40 | 41.2% | 29% |
| 20260904 | $4.78 | $2.72 | 37.5% | 8% |
| 20260903 | $4.60 | $2.85 | 37.7% | 9% |
| 20260902 | $2.88 | $2.88 | 38.4% | 14% |
| 20260901 | $3.00 | $3.00 | 37.1% | 6% |
| 20260831 | $3.35 | $3.35 | 36.0% | 0% |
| 20260828 | $3.65 | $3.65 | 37.9% | 6% |
| 20260827 | $3.55 | $3.55 | 39.4% | 15% |
| 20260826 | $3.73 | $3.73 | 38.2% | 8% |
| 20260825 | $3.70 | $3.70 | 37.7% | 5% |
| 20260824 | $4.22 | $4.22 | 41.2% | 26% |
| 20260821 | $4.12 | $0.65 | 38.3% | 9% |
| 20260820 | $4.35 | $1.85 | 38.9% | 12% |
| 20260819 | $4.45 | $1.95 | 38.9% | 12% |
| 20260818 | $5.00 | $2.95 | 40.3% | 20% |
| 20260817 | $4.60 | $2.32 | 39.5% | 16% |
| 20260814 | $4.40 | $2.17 | 36.8% | 0% |
| 20260813 | $5.00 | $2.27 | 40.2% | 12% |
| 20260812 | $5.25 | $2.88 | 41.9% | 23% |
| 20260811 | $4.82 | $2.65 | 38.3% | 0% |
| 20260810 | $5.47 | $3.55 | 41.7% | 19% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 39.4% | 3% |
| 20260806 | $5.97 | $4.08 | 43.9% | 34% |
| 20260805 | $4.03 | $4.03 | 42.6% | 25% |
| 20260804 | $3.98 | $3.98 | 42.4% | 23% |
| 20260803 | $4.20 | $4.20 | 44.4% | 37% |
| 20260731 | $3.67 | $3.67 | 41.3% | 16% |
| 20260730 | $4.43 | $4.43 | 42.1% | 21% |
| 20260729 | $4.28 | $4.28 | 42.1% | 22% |
More on SW
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.