TAIL · Expected Move

Cambria Tail Risk ETF · ETF

The expected move for TAIL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

TAIL straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current TAIL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.40
7-Day Straddle
$1.40
30-Day ATM IV
44.9%
IV Rank
5%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TAIL's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
TAIL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $1.40 $1.40 44.9% 5%
20261021 $1.40 $1.40 48.4% 6%
20261020 $5.00 $5.00 50.4% 6%
20261019 $3.27 $3.27 — —
20261016 $5.00 $2.50 33.5% 2%
20261015 $5.00 $0.72 50.2% 6%
20261014 $1.48 $0.80 44.1% 5%
20261013 $1.50 $0.82 50.9% 6%
20261012 $5.00 $0.80 35.1% 2%
20261009 $5.00 $0.88 55.5% 7%
20261008 $1.57 $0.85 51.0% 6%
20261007 $1.57 $0.88 58.2% 8%
20261006 $3.23 $0.85 — —
20261005 $1.62 $3.00 60.6% 9%
20261002 $1.23 $1.23 55.9% 8%
20261001 $1.23 $1.23 50.4% 6%
20260930 $1.23 $1.23 48.4% 6%
20260929 $0.88 $0.88 54.4% 7%
20260928 $1.25 $1.25 53.8% 7%
20260925 $2.80 $2.80 40.6% 4%
20260924 $1.23 $1.23 59.6% 8%
20260923 $1.27 $1.27 54.0% 7%
20260922 $2.45 $2.45 52.7% 7%
20260921 $3.10 $3.10 44.4% 5%
20260918 $3.12 $1.27 53.3% 7%
20260917 $5.00 $2.62 44.6% 5%
20260916 $5.00 $0.25 44.4% 5%
20260915 $3.20 $0.25 45.8% 5%
20260914 $5.00 $0.70 45.1% 5%
20260911 $3.20 $0.75 65.2% 10%
20260910 $3.20 $0.77 58.0% 8%
20260909 $3.50 $0.72 77.2% 13%
20260908 $3.20 $0.80 80.0% 13%
20260904 $3.23 $0.77 — —
20260903 $3.00 $0.90 — —
20260902 $0.80 $0.80 105.7% 20%
20260901 $2.80 $2.80 — —
20260831 $2.83 $2.83 — —
20260828 $2.85 $2.85 — —
20260827 $1.33 $1.33 51.3% 6%
20260826 $2.90 $2.90 33.2% 2%
20260825 $1.40 $1.40 — —
20260824 $2.92 $2.92 42.8% 4%
20260821 $1.45 $0.93 — —
20260820 $1.25 $0.98 — —
20260819 $0.95 $0.98 30.0% 1%
20260818 $2.95 $1.47 — —
20260817 $1.27 $0.93 121.1% 23%
20260814 $1.12 $0.93 92.1% 16%
20260813 $0.88 $1.60 32.5% 2%
20260812 $0.75 $0.95 31.1% 1%
20260811 $0.78 $0.98 70.2% 11%
20260810 $2.92 $2.92 — —
20260807 — — 34.3% 2%
20260806 $3.17 $2.98 37.6% 3%
20260805 $1.02 $1.02 96.4% 17%
20260804 $2.98 $2.98 39.2% 3%
20260803 $1.02 $1.02 54.3% 7%
20260731 $1.08 $1.08 — —
20260730 $0.90 $0.90 54.0% 7%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.