TCBI · Expected Move

TEXAS CAP BANCSHARES INC

The expected move for TCBI is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

TCBI straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current TCBI Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$7.05
7-Day Straddle
$7.05
30-Day ATM IV
33.7%
IV Rank
70%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TCBI's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
TCBI Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $7.05 $7.05 33.7% 70%
20261020 $7.65 $7.65 34.0% 72%
20261019 $7.78 $7.78 36.0% 86%
20261016 $7.95 $2.38 34.4% 72%
20261015 $7.90 $2.30 34.4% 72%
20261014 $7.92 $3.02 35.4% 78%
20261013 $7.82 $2.33 34.1% 70%
20261012 $7.78 $3.20 33.4% 65%
20261009 $8.05 $3.98 32.8% 61%
20261008 $8.43 $4.10 31.3% 52%
20261007 $7.97 $3.38 30.4% 45%
20261006 $8.82 $3.97 33.3% 65%
20261005 $8.65 $3.75 32.4% 59%
20261002 $4.28 $4.28 31.1% 51%
20261001 $4.60 $4.60 29.6% 40%
20260930 $4.85 $4.85 31.2% 51%
20260929 $5.10 $5.10 31.0% 49%
20260928 $5.40 $5.40 30.5% 46%
20260925 $4.90 $4.90 28.0% 30%
20260924 $5.18 $5.18 29.5% 40%
20260923 $5.00 $5.00 27.9% 30%
20260922 $4.97 $4.97 27.1% 24%
20260921 $5.28 $5.28 28.2% 32%
20260918 $5.90 $1.80 28.3% 32%
20260917 $6.45 $2.65 30.4% 46%
20260916 $6.33 $3.00 28.7% 35%
20260915 $6.57 $3.58 29.0% 36%
20260914 $6.35 $3.70 27.8% 28%
20260911 $6.60 $3.38 26.7% 22%
20260910 $6.75 $3.90 27.5% 27%
20260909 $7.33 $4.55 28.9% 36%
20260908 $7.03 $4.08 28.4% 33%
20260904 $6.92 $4.03 24.8% 9%
20260903 $6.55 $4.50 26.0% 17%
20260902 $5.20 $5.20 27.8% 29%
20260901 $4.17 $4.17 26.7% 22%
20260831 $5.57 $5.57 27.5% 27%
20260828 $4.78 $4.78 24.3% 6%
20260827 $4.62 $4.62 23.8% 2%
20260826 $4.70 $4.70 25.4% 13%
20260825 $4.90 $4.90 25.5% 14%
20260824 $5.58 $5.58 26.6% 21%
20260821 $5.38 $2.85 25.8% 16%
20260820 $5.57 $3.32 26.0% 17%
20260819 $5.90 $3.55 25.8% 16%
20260818 $6.00 $2.88 25.8% 16%
20260817 $6.28 $3.60 25.7% 15%
20260814 $6.05 $3.42 23.4% 0%
20260813 $6.47 $3.67 25.0% 4%
20260812 $6.68 $3.88 25.5% 6%
20260811 $6.97 $3.95 27.1% 15%
20260810 $6.22 $3.92 24.5% 0%
20260807 — — 26.0% 3%
20260806 $7.78 $5.05 29.0% 17%
20260805 $5.35 $5.35 28.3% 13%
20260804 $5.38 $5.38 27.4% 9%
20260803 $5.38 $5.38 25.2% 0%
20260731 $5.50 $5.50 27.9% 6%
20260730 $6.62 $6.62 30.6% 19%
20260729 $5.92 $5.92 30.3% 17%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.