TD · Expected Move

Toronto Dominion Bank

The expected move for TD is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

TD straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current TD Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$6.15
7-Day Straddle
$0.93
30-Day ATM IV
20.6%
IV Rank
47%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TD's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
TD Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261016 $6.15 $0.93 20.6% 47%
20261015 $5.97 $1.17 20.1% 38%
20261014 $6.25 $2.93 20.7% 49%
20261013 $6.25 $2.65 20.6% 46%
20261012 $6.15 $2.62 19.6% 29%
20261009 $6.28 $1.98 19.9% 35%
20261008 $6.62 $2.95 21.2% 56%
20261007 $7.00 $3.38 22.1% 72%
20261006 $6.97 $3.62 20.7% 47%
20261005 $7.03 $4.17 20.6% 46%
20261002 $4.30 $4.30 20.7% 49%
20261001 $4.73 $4.73 21.4% 60%
20260930 $4.82 $4.82 21.3% 58%
20260929 $4.38 $4.38 20.4% 43%
20260928 $3.92 $3.92 20.5% 45%
20260925 $4.53 $4.53 20.1% 38%
20260924 $4.95 $4.95 20.9% 52%
20260923 $4.88 $4.88 21.3% 59%
20260922 $5.22 $5.22 20.4% 43%
20260921 $5.15 $5.15 19.8% 33%
20260918 $5.70 $2.50 20.1% 38%
20260917 $5.67 $2.15 19.9% 34%
20260916 $6.40 $2.65 22.9% 86%
20260915 $5.40 $2.25 18.9% 17%
20260914 $5.67 $2.00 19.5% 28%
20260911 $5.72 $2.73 18.9% 18%
20260910 $5.95 $3.60 20.3% 41%
20260909 $6.17 $2.53 20.4% 42%
20260908 $6.38 $2.85 20.2% 40%
20260904 $7.18 $3.95 19.9% 35%
20260903 $6.40 $3.80 19.0% 18%
20260902 $3.90 $3.90 19.1% 21%
20260901 $3.70 $3.70 19.4% 26%
20260831 $4.30 $4.30 19.2% 23%
20260828 $4.72 $4.72 19.4% 26%
20260827 $4.90 $4.90 20.5% 45%
20260826 $4.93 $4.93 22.1% 75%
20260825 $5.93 $5.93 23.2% 91%
20260824 $5.85 $5.85 22.3% 78%
20260821 $6.25 $2.45 22.7% 84%
20260820 $6.52 $2.72 23.2% 92%
20260819 $6.25 $2.12 22.9% 87%
20260818 $5.15 $2.78 17.9% 13%
20260817 $6.70 $2.00 22.9% 87%
20260814 $6.20 $2.55 20.1% 45%
20260813 $6.35 $2.88 20.5% 52%
20260812 $6.03 $2.92 19.2% 32%
20260811 $6.97 $3.45 21.3% 64%
20260810 $6.85 $3.73 20.8% 56%
20260807 — — 21.1% 57%
20260806 $8.00 $4.53 23.0% 72%
20260805 $4.65 $4.65 22.6% 67%
20260804 $4.57 $4.57 23.8% 81%
20260803 $4.88 $4.88 22.0% 60%
20260731 $5.03 $5.03 22.6% 67%
20260730 $5.15 $5.15 22.7% 68%
20260729 $5.60 $5.60 22.3% 64%
20260728 $5.35 $5.35 21.8% 58%
20260727 $5.33 $5.33 21.2% 50%
20260724 $5.55 $5.55 21.2% 50%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.