TFIN · Expected Move

Triumph Financial, Inc.

The expected move for TFIN is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

TFIN straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current TFIN Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$5.20
7-Day Straddle
$5.20
30-Day ATM IV
37.6%
IV Rank
19%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TFIN's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
TFIN Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $5.20 $5.20 37.6% 19%
20261021 $6.67 $6.67 44.5% 85%
20261020 $6.30 $6.30 41.3% 55%
20261019 $6.40 $6.40 42.6% 67%
20261016 $7.18 $1.90 45.1% 91%
20261015 $7.45 $2.48 46.0% 100%
20261014 $7.47 $2.25 45.7% 99%
20261013 $7.50 $3.30 43.8% 81%
20261012 $7.35 $3.23 45.2% 95%
20261009 $7.72 $3.48 44.7% 90%
20261008 $7.32 $3.88 41.5% 58%
20261007 $7.62 $3.98 41.6% 60%
20261006 $7.55 $4.05 42.5% 68%
20261005 $8.03 $4.00 44.5% 87%
20261002 $4.40 $4.40 42.3% 66%
20261001 $4.65 $4.65 43.8% 81%
20260930 $4.22 $4.22 42.4% 67%
20260929 $4.38 $4.38 43.3% 76%
20260928 $4.88 $4.88 43.7% 80%
20260925 $5.25 $5.25 42.9% 72%
20260924 $5.05 $5.05 42.1% 64%
20260923 $5.50 $5.50 41.6% 59%
20260922 $6.20 $6.20 43.7% 80%
20260921 $6.40 $6.40 44.0% 83%
20260918 $5.95 $2.93 41.8% 61%
20260917 $6.12 $2.10 43.2% 74%
20260916 $6.50 $2.32 43.1% 74%
20260915 $6.17 $2.02 41.2% 55%
20260914 $6.40 $2.82 39.8% 42%
20260911 $6.78 $2.83 40.1% 44%
20260910 $6.80 $3.48 39.0% 34%
20260909 $6.98 $3.27 40.5% 48%
20260908 $6.90 $3.30 39.3% 36%
20260904 $6.80 $3.55 35.6% 0%
20260903 $7.47 $3.80 38.4% 15%
20260902 $4.00 $4.00 38.0% 11%
20260901 $4.17 $4.17 38.1% 12%
20260831 $4.62 $4.62 37.6% 6%
20260828 $5.33 $5.33 37.2% 2%
20260827 $5.70 $5.70 37.9% 7%
20260826 $5.62 $5.62 39.1% 13%
20260825 $5.58 $5.58 39.0% 13%
20260824 $5.95 $5.95 40.3% 19%
20260821 $6.30 $1.05 38.4% 8%
20260820 $6.22 $2.08 37.9% 5%
20260819 $6.75 $2.15 40.1% 15%
20260818 $7.22 $2.95 38.8% 9%
20260817 $7.30 $3.75 39.2% 11%
20260814 $7.65 $3.60 40.3% 14%
20260813 $7.47 $3.92 39.3% 10%
20260812 $8.22 $4.55 42.3% 20%
20260811 $8.38 $5.05 42.9% 23%
20260810 $8.12 $4.70 41.7% 18%
20260807 — — 39.2% 8%
20260806 $9.80 $6.32 41.7% 14%
20260805 $5.58 $5.58 41.5% 13%
20260804 $5.83 $5.83 41.3% 13%
20260803 $5.95 $5.95 42.5% 17%
20260731 $6.22 $6.22 41.7% 14%
20260730 $6.03 $6.03 42.8% 18%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.