TFSL · Expected Move

TFS Financial Corporation

The expected move for TFSL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

TFSL straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current TFSL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.73
7-Day Straddle
$1.73
30-Day ATM IV
36.2%
IV Rank
24%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TFSL's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
TFSL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261019 $1.73 $1.73 36.2% 24%
20261016 $2.20 $4.08 43.6% 37%
20261015 $1.32 $1.15 29.6% 12%
20261014 $1.57 $1.27 28.4% 10%
20261013 $1.42 $1.50 26.5% 6%
20261012 $3.75 $1.43 26.1% 5%
20261009 $1.60 $2.22 35.6% 22%
20261008 $2.08 $1.32 40.3% 31%
20261007 $2.30 $1.45 48.4% 46%
20261006 $1.55 $1.57 33.5% 19%
20261005 $1.23 $0.78 34.8% 21%
20261002 $0.78 $0.78 40.2% 31%
20261001 $1.22 $1.22 30.4% 13%
20260930 $1.48 $1.48 30.6% 14%
20260929 $1.05 $1.05 38.3% 27%
20260928 $0.98 $0.98 42.1% 34%
20260925 $0.82 $0.82 42.7% 35%
20260924 $0.95 $0.95 41.6% 33%
20260923 $0.95 $0.95 35.9% 23%
20260922 $0.90 $0.90 41.7% 33%
20260921 $0.93 $0.93 26.8% 7%
20260918 $0.93 $0.70 25.8% 5%
20260917 $0.95 $0.62 40.6% 32%
20260916 $1.02 $0.75 43.7% 37%
20260915 $0.97 $0.75 — —
20260914 $0.90 $0.73 24.8% 3%
20260911 $0.97 $0.88 78.9% 100%
20260910 $1.02 $0.85 46.0% 87%
20260909 $1.15 $0.90 47.8% 94%
20260908 $1.12 $0.88 29.1% 23%
20260904 $1.65 $0.88 35.9% 49%
20260903 $1.23 $0.88 28.9% 22%
20260902 $1.02 $1.02 41.3% 69%
20260901 $0.68 $0.68 24.5% 6%
20260831 $0.95 $0.95 29.9% 19%
20260828 $1.12 $1.12 33.8% 30%
20260827 $0.93 $0.93 25.6% 7%
20260826 $0.85 $0.85 28.2% 14%
20260825 $0.82 $0.82 24.6% 4%
20260824 $0.98 $0.98 28.1% 14%
20260821 $0.80 $0.65 23.1% 0%
20260820 $1.68 $0.45 42.0% 52%
20260819 $1.25 $0.97 29.5% 18%
20260818 $1.40 $0.65 34.7% 32%
20260817 $1.85 $0.80 44.1% 58%
20260814 $1.12 $0.78 27.7% 13%
20260813 $1.23 $1.30 31.4% 23%
20260812 $1.85 $0.88 42.5% 54%
20260811 $2.15 $0.88 47.5% 68%
20260810 $1.25 $0.60 41.1% 50%
20260807 — — 30.5% 21%
20260806 $2.48 $2.55 36.1% 36%
20260805 $2.08 $2.08 40.7% 49%
20260804 $1.68 $1.68 36.9% 38%
20260803 $1.73 $1.73 42.1% 53%
20260731 $2.08 $2.08 44.3% 59%
20260730 $1.38 $1.38 36.2% 36%
20260729 $1.58 $1.58 36.3% 37%
20260728 $1.55 $1.55 43.3% 56%
20260727 $1.10 $1.10 31.4% 23%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.