TKO · Expected Move

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

The expected move for TKO is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

TKO straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current TKO Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$16.55
7-Day Straddle
$2.08
30-Day ATM IV
38.2%
IV Rank
60%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TKO's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
TKO Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261016 $16.55 $2.08 38.2% 60%
20261015 $16.20 $3.42 36.7% 49%
20261014 $17.35 $5.12 38.9% 64%
20261013 $17.05 $5.05 38.1% 59%
20261012 $17.00 $5.75 37.3% 53%
20261009 $17.55 $6.18 35.3% 39%
20261008 $19.15 $7.32 37.7% 56%
20261007 $18.70 $7.67 37.3% 53%
20261006 $18.30 $7.82 36.3% 46%
20261005 $18.30 $8.68 35.4% 40%
20261002 $9.25 $9.25 35.3% 40%
20261001 $10.25 $10.25 36.0% 44%
20260930 $9.85 $9.85 36.4% 47%
20260929 $10.30 $10.30 35.4% 40%
20260928 $11.10 $11.10 35.9% 43%
20260925 $11.70 $11.70 34.6% 35%
20260924 $12.55 $12.55 36.1% 45%
20260923 $12.80 $12.80 35.0% 37%
20260922 $13.20 $13.20 34.9% 37%
20260921 $13.50 $13.50 34.5% 34%
20260918 $13.90 $2.20 33.1% 24%
20260917 $14.40 $4.62 33.8% 29%
20260916 $15.35 $6.05 34.0% 30%
20260915 $15.65 $6.20 35.6% 41%
20260914 $15.20 $6.35 33.7% 28%
20260911 $15.55 $6.47 33.2% 25%
20260910 $16.35 $9.00 34.9% 36%
20260909 $17.20 $9.75 35.5% 41%
20260908 $17.55 $10.00 35.5% 41%
20260904 $16.50 $9.30 32.5% 20%
20260903 $15.20 $9.25 29.6% 0%
20260902 $10.30 $10.30 31.2% 5%
20260901 $10.10 $10.10 30.6% 0%
20260831 $10.60 $10.60 31.1% 0%
20260828 $11.10 $11.10 31.6% 4%
20260827 $11.85 $11.85 32.3% 9%
20260826 $12.35 $12.35 32.2% 9%
20260825 $12.45 $12.45 31.1% 0%
20260824 $13.40 $13.40 32.6% 10%
20260821 $13.70 $2.02 32.4% 8%
20260820 $14.95 $3.62 33.8% 20%
20260819 $14.65 $4.20 31.3% 0%
20260818 $14.50 $5.85 32.2% 5%
20260817 $14.45 $5.38 31.5% 0%
20260814 $16.75 $6.88 33.4% 2%
20260813 $17.25 $8.00 34.4% 11%
20260812 $16.35 $8.20 33.2% 0%
20260811 $16.95 $8.80 34.0% 0%
20260810 $17.45 $10.10 35.7% 17%
20260807 — — 34.0% 0%
20260806 $19.20 $11.75 38.2% 33%
20260805 $11.70 $11.70 37.3% 22%
20260804 $12.40 $12.40 39.1% 43%
20260803 $15.20 $15.20 44.1% 100%
20260731 $15.90 $15.90 42.4% 84%
20260730 $16.30 $16.30 42.7% 88%
20260729 $16.65 $16.65 42.4% 84%
20260728 $17.00 $17.00 43.5% 97%
20260727 $16.75 $16.75 43.1% 92%
20260724 $17.25 $17.25 43.0% 90%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.