TKR · Expected Move

The Timken Company

The expected move for TKR is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

TKR straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current TKR Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$11.55
7-Day Straddle
$3.27
30-Day ATM IV
41.0%
IV Rank
40%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TKR's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
TKR Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261016 $11.55 $3.27 41.0% 40%
20261015 $12.10 $3.25 42.2% 47%
20261014 $12.00 $3.57 40.0% 35%
20261013 $12.25 $3.30 41.4% 42%
20261012 $12.10 $4.82 40.5% 37%
20261009 $12.30 $5.10 39.0% 29%
20261008 $12.80 $5.53 40.9% 40%
20261007 $13.25 $4.85 40.9% 40%
20261006 $12.80 $6.67 38.9% 28%
20261005 $13.80 $6.35 40.5% 37%
20261002 $6.85 $6.85 38.4% 25%
20261001 $6.82 $6.82 38.7% 27%
20260930 $7.10 $7.10 38.7% 27%
20260929 $7.68 $7.68 39.0% 29%
20260928 $7.72 $7.72 38.9% 28%
20260925 $8.50 $8.50 37.8% 22%
20260924 $7.97 $7.97 37.0% 17%
20260923 $8.05 $8.05 36.4% 13%
20260922 $8.40 $8.40 36.6% 18%
20260921 $7.92 $7.92 35.3% 11%
20260918 $9.55 $1.90 36.1% 16%
20260917 $9.80 $3.02 35.7% 13%
20260916 $10.28 $3.33 37.3% 22%
20260915 $10.55 $4.15 37.5% 29%
20260914 $10.55 $4.78 37.4% 28%
20260911 $10.50 $5.08 35.6% 19%
20260910 $10.95 $5.45 36.6% 24%
20260909 $10.60 $6.05 35.7% 20%
20260908 $11.65 $6.80 36.9% 26%
20260904 $11.30 $7.47 34.1% 12%
20260903 $11.50 $6.65 34.6% 14%
20260902 $7.28 $7.28 35.4% 18%
20260901 $7.65 $7.65 36.5% 24%
20260831 $7.55 $7.55 35.9% 21%
20260828 $8.85 $8.85 37.0% 26%
20260827 $8.45 $8.45 36.6% 24%
20260826 $9.45 $9.45 37.0% 26%
20260825 $8.97 $8.97 35.6% 19%
20260824 $10.00 $10.00 37.3% 28%
20260821 $10.25 $0.95 37.1% 27%
20260820 $10.20 $2.17 36.6% 24%
20260819 $10.35 $3.10 36.0% 21%
20260818 $11.05 $4.40 36.7% 25%
20260817 $11.25 $4.53 35.5% 18%
20260814 $11.75 $5.80 35.5% 19%
20260813 $12.25 $5.38 36.8% 25%
20260812 $12.40 $6.50 37.8% 31%
20260811 $12.45 $6.80 37.7% 30%
20260810 $13.75 $7.35 40.4% 44%
20260807 — — 41.4% 49%
20260806 $15.65 $9.72 42.2% 54%
20260805 $9.57 $9.57 43.2% 58%
20260804 $10.25 $10.25 42.3% 54%
20260803 $13.15 $13.15 49.1% 89%
20260731 $14.10 $14.10 49.2% 90%
20260730 $14.20 $14.20 48.8% 87%
20260729 $13.35 $13.35 48.7% 87%
20260728 $15.20 $15.20 51.2% 100%
20260727 $14.75 $14.75 48.7% 98%
20260724 $15.55 $15.55 48.9% 100%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.