TPL · Expected Move
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
The expected move for TPL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
TPL straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current TPL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$40.55
7-Day Straddle
$3.17
30-Day ATM IV
47.1%
IV Rank
56%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TPL's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
TPL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261016 | $40.55 | $3.17 | 47.1% | 56% |
| 20261015 | $39.70 | $8.75 | 45.7% | 42% |
| 20261014 | $41.60 | $12.57 | 45.5% | 40% |
| 20261013 | $43.40 | $12.75 | 45.8% | 43% |
| 20261012 | $43.05 | $14.80 | 44.1% | 26% |
| 20261009 | $43.10 | $16.20 | 43.9% | 24% |
| 20261008 | $44.85 | $17.35 | 45.1% | 36% |
| 20261007 | $41.95 | $17.85 | 42.6% | 12% |
| 20261006 | $43.25 | $20.00 | 42.6% | 12% |
| 20261005 | $44.70 | $20.30 | 44.1% | 27% |
| 20261002 | $20.50 | $20.50 | 45.2% | 37% |
| 20261001 | $22.90 | $22.90 | 44.6% | 31% |
| 20260930 | $24.15 | $24.15 | 44.6% | 31% |
| 20260929 | $25.35 | $25.35 | 45.5% | 41% |
| 20260928 | $27.35 | $27.35 | 45.2% | 38% |
| 20260925 | $27.90 | $27.90 | 44.7% | 33% |
| 20260924 | $28.55 | $28.55 | 44.0% | 26% |
| 20260923 | $29.35 | $29.35 | 43.7% | 23% |
| 20260922 | $31.60 | $31.60 | 44.4% | 30% |
| 20260921 | $33.40 | $33.40 | 43.5% | 21% |
| 20260918 | $32.75 | $3.38 | 41.8% | 4% |
| 20260917 | $32.70 | $8.05 | 41.4% | 0% |
| 20260916 | $33.55 | $12.65 | 42.1% | 3% |
| 20260915 | $39.00 | $16.10 | 44.9% | 32% |
| 20260914 | $38.00 | $16.20 | 43.4% | 16% |
| 20260911 | $40.95 | $17.05 | 44.6% | 29% |
| 20260910 | $40.60 | $18.60 | 43.6% | 18% |
| 20260909 | $42.00 | $22.80 | 43.6% | 19% |
| 20260908 | $42.20 | $22.40 | 43.1% | 13% |
| 20260904 | $41.30 | $22.85 | 41.8% | 0% |
| 20260903 | $42.90 | $25.80 | 42.0% | 0% |
| 20260902 | $27.75 | $27.75 | 43.8% | 14% |
| 20260901 | $26.70 | $26.70 | 43.4% | 10% |
| 20260831 | $28.75 | $28.75 | 43.6% | 12% |
| 20260828 | $29.75 | $29.75 | 42.7% | 1% |
| 20260827 | $31.95 | $31.95 | 44.7% | 24% |
| 20260826 | $32.10 | $32.10 | 44.0% | 16% |
| 20260825 | $34.80 | $34.80 | 45.2% | 29% |
| 20260824 | $37.70 | $37.70 | 47.4% | 53% |
| 20260821 | $38.65 | $5.08 | 45.2% | 29% |
| 20260820 | $37.10 | $9.90 | 44.2% | 18% |
| 20260819 | $36.50 | $10.90 | 42.6% | 0% |
| 20260818 | $38.10 | $15.05 | 44.6% | 5% |
| 20260817 | $39.10 | $14.80 | 46.2% | 20% |
| 20260814 | $40.20 | $15.80 | 44.9% | 7% |
| 20260813 | $39.85 | $16.80 | 45.6% | 14% |
| 20260812 | $39.65 | $20.05 | 45.8% | 16% |
| 20260811 | $41.05 | $22.10 | 44.8% | 7% |
| 20260810 | $41.10 | $22.30 | 45.4% | 13% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 45.9% | 15% |
| 20260806 | $43.90 | $26.05 | 44.4% | 2% |
| 20260805 | $33.45 | $33.45 | 47.8% | 32% |
| 20260804 | $36.00 | $36.00 | 48.9% | 41% |
| 20260803 | $37.90 | $37.90 | 49.7% | 49% |
| 20260731 | $39.55 | $39.55 | 49.6% | 48% |
| 20260730 | $39.65 | $39.65 | 49.8% | 50% |
| 20260729 | $40.00 | $40.00 | 50.2% | 53% |
| 20260728 | $42.35 | $42.35 | 51.6% | 65% |
| 20260727 | $43.70 | $43.70 | 50.6% | 57% |
| 20260724 | $45.65 | $45.65 | 49.1% | 44% |
More on TPL
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.