TSLY · Expected Move
YieldMax TSLA Option Income Strategy ETF · ETF
The expected move for TSLY is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
TSLY straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current TSLY Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.77
7-Day Straddle
$1.77
30-Day ATM IV
25.7%
IV Rank
0%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to TSLY's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
TSLY Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261022 | $1.77 | $1.77 | 25.7% | 0% |
| 20261021 | $1.77 | $1.77 | 30.5% | 13% |
| 20261020 | $2.12 | $2.12 | 32.6% | 19% |
| 20261019 | $1.67 | $1.67 | 30.3% | 12% |
| 20261016 | $2.15 | $0.47 | 32.0% | 17% |
| 20261015 | $2.02 | $0.42 | 33.2% | 21% |
| 20261014 | $2.23 | $0.72 | 38.8% | 38% |
| 20261013 | $1.95 | $0.68 | 26.2% | 0% |
| 20261012 | $2.15 | $0.95 | 32.2% | 14% |
| 20260302 | $1.55 | $1.55 | 34.2% | 20% |
| 20260227 | $1.90 | $1.90 | 33.0% | 16% |
| 20260226 | $2.10 | $2.10 | 33.7% | 18% |
| 20260225 | $2.12 | $2.12 | 32.2% | 14% |
| 20260224 | $2.45 | $2.45 | 34.8% | 22% |
| 20260223 | $2.33 | $2.33 | 40.2% | 39% |
| 20260221 | $2.60 | $2.60 | — | — |
| 20260220 | $2.60 | $0.42 | 31.2% | 9% |
| 20260219 | $2.80 | $0.60 | 34.9% | 19% |
| 20260218 | $2.67 | $0.70 | 39.5% | 31% |
| 20260217 | $3.33 | $0.93 | 35.2% | 20% |
| 20260213 | $3.12 | $1.45 | 29.1% | 3% |
| 20260212 | $3.35 | $1.52 | 36.6% | 23% |
| 20260211 | $3.75 | $1.15 | 38.5% | 28% |
| 20260210 | $3.00 | $1.38 | 35.4% | 20% |
| 20260209 | $3.85 | $1.52 | 43.2% | 41% |
| 20260206 | $3.60 | $2.17 | 35.3% | 21% |
| 20260205 | $3.47 | $2.02 | 35.0% | 20% |
| 20260204 | $2.12 | $2.12 | 38.2% | 28% |
| 20260203 | $2.50 | $2.50 | 39.2% | 31% |
| 20260202 | $2.58 | $2.58 | 37.2% | 26% |
| 20260130 | $2.65 | $2.65 | 35.0% | 20% |
| 20260129 | $2.83 | $2.83 | 41.3% | 36% |
| 20260128 | $3.30 | $3.30 | 37.7% | 27% |
| 20260127 | $2.52 | $2.52 | 42.6% | 40% |
| 20260126 | $2.73 | $2.73 | 37.4% | 26% |
| 20260123 | $3.12 | $3.12 | 35.3% | 21% |
| 20260122 | $3.82 | $3.82 | 40.3% | 34% |
| 20260121 | $3.47 | $3.47 | 37.0% | 25% |
| 20260120 | $2.97 | $2.97 | 35.7% | 22% |
| 20260116 | $2.77 | $0.38 | 39.4% | 32% |
| 20260115 | $3.55 | $0.80 | 36.5% | 24% |
| 20260114 | $3.78 | $0.75 | 34.0% | 17% |
| 20260113 | $3.12 | $1.65 | 39.1% | 31% |
| 20260112 | $3.67 | $1.45 | 36.5% | 24% |
| 20260109 | $4.35 | $1.65 | 39.7% | 32% |
| 20260108 | $4.08 | $1.38 | 40.5% | 34% |
| 20260107 | $3.65 | $1.33 | 36.2% | 23% |
| 20260106 | $3.70 | $1.27 | 37.6% | 27% |
| 20260105 | $4.42 | $1.62 | 38.3% | 28% |
| 20260102 | $2.50 | $2.50 | 39.0% | 30% |
| 20251231 | $2.58 | $2.58 | 37.7% | 27% |
| 20251230 | $1.73 | $1.73 | 37.4% | 26% |
| 20251229 | $1.88 | $1.88 | 43.2% | 42% |
| 20251226 | $2.85 | $2.85 | 38.1% | 28% |
| 20251224 | $3.60 | $3.60 | 59.6% | 85% |
| 20251223 | $3.40 | $3.40 | 40.6% | 35% |
| 20251222 | $3.25 | $3.25 | 44.2% | 44% |
| 20251219 | $3.15 | $0.45 | 35.7% | 22% |
| 20251218 | $3.62 | $0.82 | 56.7% | 77% |
| 20251217 | $3.62 | $1.03 | 40.1% | 33% |
More on TSLY
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