UBS · Expected Move

UBS Group AG

The expected move for UBS is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

UBS straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current UBS Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.68
7-Day Straddle
$2.10
30-Day ATM IV
28.7%
IV Rank
43%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to UBS's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
UBS Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261109 $3.68 $2.10 28.7% 43%
20261106 $3.98 $2.42 30.2% 55%
20261105 $4.03 $2.58 30.1% 54%
20261104 $2.35 $2.35 26.3% 24%
20261103 $2.58 $2.58 29.1% 46%
20261102 $2.73 $2.73 28.8% 43%
20261030 $2.67 $2.67 28.9% 44%
20261029 $2.73 $2.73 27.6% 34%
20261028 $2.65 $2.65 28.4% 40%
20261027 $3.42 $3.42 34.2% 86%
20261026 $3.25 $3.25 32.4% 71%
20261023 $3.42 $3.42 32.5% 73%
20261022 $3.90 $3.90 36.0% 100%
20261021 $3.50 $3.50 31.4% 75%
20261020 $3.47 $3.47 31.6% 77%
20261019 $3.58 $3.58 32.3% 83%
20261016 $3.85 $0.33 32.3% 83%
20261015 $3.70 $0.72 30.8% 70%
20261014 $3.72 $0.95 31.1% 72%
20261013 $3.85 $1.25 30.9% 71%
20261012 $4.12 $1.38 32.3% 84%
20261009 $4.12 $1.57 30.7% 69%
20261008 $4.10 $1.62 31.7% 78%
20261007 $4.25 $1.75 31.6% 77%
20261006 $4.40 $2.25 31.5% 76%
20261005 $4.53 $2.10 31.9% 80%
20261002 $2.25 $2.25 31.9% 80%
20261001 $2.45 $2.45 34.1% 100%
20260930 $2.58 $2.58 31.7% 98%
20260929 $2.72 $2.72 31.1% 91%
20260928 $2.83 $2.83 31.0% 90%
20260925 $2.75 $2.75 29.9% 77%
20260924 $2.92 $2.92 31.2% 93%
20260923 $2.80 $2.80 29.5% 73%
20260922 $3.05 $3.05 30.0% 78%
20260921 $2.85 $2.85 25.9% 24%
20260918 $3.02 $0.62 25.9% 24%
20260917 $3.12 $0.90 26.4% 29%
20260916 $3.17 $1.18 27.2% 36%
20260915 $3.33 $1.58 27.4% 37%
20260914 $3.20 $1.50 25.2% 17%
20260911 $3.45 $1.50 25.5% 20%
20260910 $3.62 $1.93 26.7% 32%
20260909 $3.58 $1.77 25.8% 23%
20260908 $3.60 $2.33 26.1% 26%
20260904 $3.70 $2.02 24.0% 7%
20260903 $3.85 $2.27 24.3% 10%
20260902 $2.20 $2.20 24.1% 8%
20260901 $2.48 $2.48 25.4% 18%
20260831 $2.53 $2.53 26.8% 30%
20260828 $2.35 $2.35 23.3% 0%
20260827 $2.55 $2.55 24.6% 6%
20260826 $2.67 $2.67 24.8% 8%
20260825 $2.67 $2.67 24.8% 8%
20260824 $2.97 $2.97 24.5% 5%
20260821 $2.92 $0.80 24.0% 1%
20260820 $3.08 $0.85 24.9% 8%
20260819 $3.10 $1.10 24.6% 6%
20260818 $3.02 $1.05 23.9% 0%
20260817 $3.20 $1.40 23.9% 0%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.