UFCS · Expected Move
United Fire Group Inc.
The expected move for UFCS is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
UFCS straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current UFCS Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$5.97
7-Day Straddle
$5.97
30-Day ATM IV
44.7%
IV Rank
71%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to UFCS's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
UFCS Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261019 | $5.97 | $5.97 | 44.7% | 71% |
| 20261016 | $5.97 | $4.90 | 40.9% | 57% |
| 20261015 | $6.18 | $4.90 | 43.8% | 68% |
| 20261014 | $5.83 | $4.93 | 40.3% | 55% |
| 20261013 | $5.83 | $4.90 | 38.2% | 47% |
| 20261012 | $6.22 | $4.90 | 40.9% | 57% |
| 20261009 | $6.05 | $4.62 | 42.2% | 62% |
| 20261008 | $6.22 | $4.90 | 40.2% | 54% |
| 20261007 | $5.68 | $4.90 | 35.8% | 38% |
| 20261006 | $5.65 | $4.90 | 35.5% | 37% |
| 20261005 | $5.45 | $4.93 | 36.9% | 42% |
| 20261002 | $4.90 | $4.90 | 32.2% | 24% |
| 20261001 | $4.95 | $4.95 | 37.5% | 44% |
| 20260930 | $4.95 | $4.95 | 34.0% | 31% |
| 20260929 | $3.95 | $3.95 | 39.7% | 52% |
| 20260928 | $5.15 | $5.15 | 38.5% | 48% |
| 20260925 | $4.90 | $4.90 | 33.5% | 29% |
| 20260924 | $5.20 | $5.20 | 35.2% | 44% |
| 20260923 | $5.30 | $5.30 | 42.0% | 66% |
| 20260922 | $4.97 | $4.97 | 40.4% | 61% |
| 20260921 | $4.95 | $4.95 | 38.9% | 56% |
| 20260918 | $5.03 | $4.80 | 40.3% | 60% |
| 20260917 | $5.10 | $4.80 | 40.5% | 61% |
| 20260916 | $5.12 | $4.80 | 40.6% | 61% |
| 20260915 | $5.05 | $4.80 | 39.7% | 58% |
| 20260914 | $5.05 | $4.80 | 39.0% | 52% |
| 20260911 | $5.72 | $4.88 | 44.3% | 68% |
| 20260910 | $5.22 | $4.95 | 40.9% | 55% |
| 20260909 | $5.22 | $4.88 | 42.8% | 60% |
| 20260908 | $5.60 | $4.38 | 40.2% | 50% |
| 20260904 | $5.47 | $4.88 | 41.9% | 54% |
| 20260903 | $5.35 | $4.95 | 41.1% | 52% |
| 20260902 | $4.85 | $4.85 | 35.0% | 36% |
| 20260901 | $5.00 | $5.00 | 34.8% | 35% |
| 20260831 | $5.05 | $5.05 | 33.4% | 31% |
| 20260828 | $5.10 | $5.10 | 32.4% | 29% |
| 20260827 | $5.10 | $5.10 | 31.3% | 26% |
| 20260826 | $5.18 | $5.18 | 40.0% | 49% |
| 20260825 | $5.05 | $5.05 | 39.4% | 48% |
| 20260824 | $5.33 | $5.33 | 42.1% | 55% |
| 20260821 | $5.38 | $4.80 | 38.6% | 45% |
| 20260820 | $5.60 | $2.90 | 44.2% | 60% |
| 20260819 | $5.33 | $2.77 | 39.6% | 48% |
| 20260818 | $5.43 | $4.90 | 40.1% | 49% |
| 20260817 | $4.95 | $2.97 | 38.4% | 45% |
| 20260814 | $5.45 | $3.23 | 43.1% | 57% |
| 20260813 | $5.30 | $3.45 | 42.8% | 57% |
| 20260812 | $5.05 | $3.15 | 39.5% | 48% |
| 20260811 | $5.08 | $3.30 | 40.3% | 50% |
| 20260810 | $5.30 | $3.55 | 38.9% | 46% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 37.1% | 41% |
| 20260806 | $5.70 | $5.03 | 42.9% | 57% |
| 20260805 | $3.88 | $3.88 | 40.7% | 51% |
| 20260804 | $5.05 | $5.05 | 44.6% | 62% |
| 20260803 | $6.28 | $6.28 | 48.8% | 73% |
| 20260731 | $4.62 | $4.62 | 46.4% | 66% |
| 20260730 | $6.22 | $6.22 | 49.4% | 74% |
| 20260729 | $6.95 | $6.95 | 52.5% | 83% |
| 20260728 | $6.40 | $6.40 | 47.1% | 68% |
| 20260727 | $6.53 | $6.53 | 50.7% | 78% |
More on UFCS
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.