ULTY · Expected Move
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF · ETF
The expected move for ULTY is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
ULTY straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current ULTY Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.27
7-Day Straddle
$0.83
30-Day ATM IV
18.6%
IV Rank
17%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to ULTY's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
ULTY Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261009 | $2.27 | $0.83 | 18.6% | 17% |
| 20261008 | $2.15 | $0.52 | 16.4% | 10% |
| 20261007 | $2.32 | $0.90 | 19.6% | 20% |
| 20261006 | $2.17 | $0.72 | 23.9% | 33% |
| 20261005 | $2.38 | $0.88 | 18.0% | 15% |
| 20261002 | $1.20 | $1.20 | 19.8% | 20% |
| 20261001 | $0.88 | $0.88 | 17.5% | 13% |
| 20260930 | $0.80 | $0.80 | 16.3% | 9% |
| 20260929 | $1.47 | $1.47 | 24.5% | 35% |
| 20260928 | $1.15 | $1.15 | 22.3% | 28% |
| 20260925 | $1.25 | $1.25 | 13.3% | 0% |
| 20260924 | $1.40 | $1.40 | 15.0% | 4% |
| 20260923 | $1.40 | $1.40 | 19.1% | 17% |
| 20260922 | $1.43 | $1.43 | 19.8% | 19% |
| 20260921 | $1.40 | $1.40 | 22.5% | 28% |
| 20260918 | $1.60 | $0.20 | 24.1% | 33% |
| 20260917 | $1.48 | $0.50 | 20.5% | 21% |
| 20260916 | $1.85 | $0.30 | 17.4% | 11% |
| 20260915 | $1.77 | $0.43 | 20.7% | 22% |
| 20260914 | $1.85 | $0.55 | 25.7% | 38% |
| 20260911 | $2.08 | $0.70 | 22.5% | 28% |
| 20260910 | $1.85 | $0.78 | 23.4% | 31% |
| 20260909 | $2.00 | $0.60 | 20.0% | 20% |
| 20260908 | $1.98 | $0.93 | 29.9% | 51% |
| 20260904 | $2.17 | $1.32 | 18.7% | 16% |
| 20260903 | $2.15 | $1.00 | 21.3% | 24% |
| 20260902 | $1.32 | $1.32 | 19.4% | 18% |
| 20260901 | $1.20 | $1.20 | 27.7% | 44% |
| 20260831 | $1.40 | $1.40 | 26.4% | 40% |
| 20260828 | $1.38 | $1.38 | 23.2% | 30% |
| 20260827 | $1.38 | $1.38 | 13.8% | 0% |
| 20260826 | $1.78 | $1.78 | 37.3% | 69% |
| 20260825 | $1.82 | $1.82 | 27.0% | 29% |
| 20260824 | $1.80 | $1.80 | 38.2% | 73% |
| 20260821 | $1.95 | $0.30 | 33.2% | 53% |
| 20260820 | $1.75 | $0.68 | 20.2% | 2% |
| 20260819 | $1.77 | $0.90 | 30.3% | 42% |
| 20260818 | $2.10 | $0.65 | 29.2% | 37% |
| 20260817 | $2.25 | $1.03 | 27.1% | 29% |
| 20260814 | $1.95 | $1.30 | 31.0% | 45% |
| 20260813 | $1.98 | $0.90 | 23.4% | 15% |
| 20260812 | $2.15 | $0.93 | 25.0% | 21% |
| 20260811 | $2.25 | $0.95 | 28.8% | 36% |
| 20260810 | $2.27 | $1.12 | 27.3% | 30% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 27.9% | 32% |
| 20260806 | $2.75 | $1.52 | 27.5% | 31% |
| 20260805 | $1.20 | $1.20 | 19.6% | 0% |
| 20260804 | $1.62 | $1.62 | 24.9% | 12% |
| 20260803 | $1.60 | $1.60 | 28.4% | 27% |
| 20260731 | $1.75 | $1.75 | 42.9% | 90% |
| 20260730 | $1.65 | $1.65 | 26.6% | 11% |
| 20260729 | $1.93 | $1.93 | 29.7% | 18% |
| 20260728 | $1.85 | $1.85 | 35.4% | 32% |
| 20260727 | $1.90 | $1.90 | 35.0% | 31% |
| 20260724 | $1.98 | $1.98 | 27.6% | 13% |
| 20260723 | $1.80 | $1.80 | 23.6% | 4% |
| 20260722 | $1.88 | $1.88 | 22.1% | 0% |
| 20260721 | $2.38 | $2.38 | 28.2% | 13% |
| 20260720 | $2.30 | $2.30 | 30.9% | 20% |
| 20260716 | $2.65 | $1.05 | 28.6% | 14% |
More on ULTY
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.