UPAR · Expected Move

UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF · ETF

The expected move for UPAR is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

UPAR straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current UPAR Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.90
7-Day Straddle
$4.90
30-Day ATM IV
29.0%
IV Rank
5%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to UPAR's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
UPAR Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $4.90 $4.90 29.0% 5%
20261021 $0.93 $0.93 30.0% 6%
20261020 $4.90 $4.90 32.1% 7%
20261019 $0.93 $0.93 47.4% 14%
20261016 $4.90 $3.95 — —
20261015 $1.12 $0.90 34.2% 8%
20261014 $4.90 $0.72 32.7% 7%
20261013 $1.02 $0.82 37.6% 9%
20261012 $4.90 $4.90 47.0% 14%
20261009 $1.05 $0.80 40.9% 11%
20261008 $2.05 $0.82 34.4% 8%
20261007 $1.00 $0.82 38.9% 10%
20261006 $4.90 $4.90 33.3% 7%
20261005 $1.05 $0.82 35.7% 8%
20261002 $0.85 $0.85 51.7% 16%
20261001 $0.82 $0.82 37.4% 9%
20260930 $2.90 $2.90 43.0% 12%
20260929 $1.40 $1.40 46.3% 14%
20260928 $1.23 $1.23 49.0% 15%
20260925 $1.00 $1.00 35.3% 8%
20260924 $3.05 $3.05 26.7% 4%
20260923 $0.93 $0.93 24.5% 3%
20260922 $1.98 $1.98 21.9% 2%
20260921 $2.88 $2.88 42.8% 12%
20260918 $1.12 $4.25 59.3% 20%
20260917 $3.00 $2.88 30.3% 6%
20260916 $1.07 $0.88 22.2% 2%
20260915 $1.10 $1.07 25.8% 4%
20260914 $1.07 $0.85 18.4% 0%
20260911 $1.10 $0.93 23.1% 2%
20260910 $4.80 $0.93 22.2% 2%
20260909 $4.80 $3.00 30.5% 6%
20260908 $4.80 $1.05 29.4% 5%
20260904 $4.80 $4.80 24.7% 3%
20260903 $1.20 $1.05 42.6% 12%
20260902 $1.02 $1.02 26.5% 4%
20260901 $1.00 $1.00 224.0% 100%
20260831 $4.80 $4.80 19.4% 1%
20260828 $0.98 $0.98 32.5% 11%
20260827 $1.02 $1.02 29.4% 9%
20260826 $1.02 $1.02 31.8% 11%
20260825 $1.02 $1.02 38.6% 16%
20260824 $4.80 $4.80 30.9% 10%
20260821 $1.15 $0.85 28.8% 8%
20260820 $2.85 $0.95 24.7% 5%
20260819 $4.80 $4.80 27.6% 7%
20260818 $0.98 $0.00 30.7% 10%
20260817 $1.02 $1.92 24.9% 5%
20260814 $2.88 $2.80 18.8% 0%
20260813 $1.40 $1.25 37.4% 13%
20260812 $4.80 $4.80 21.8% 0%
20260811 $1.05 $0.93 26.4% 0%
20260810 $4.80 $4.80 33.1% 3%
20260806 $4.80 $4.80 31.7% 2%
20260805 $1.27 $1.27 30.9% 1%
20260804 $4.80 $4.80 36.9% 7%
20260803 $1.25 $1.25 57.8% 25%
20260731 $4.80 $4.80 38.1% 8%
20260730 $1.35 $1.35 38.7% 8%
20260729 $1.85 $1.85 56.7% 24%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.