USAR · Expected Move

USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock

The expected move for USAR is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

USAR straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current USAR Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.96
7-Day Straddle
$0.87
30-Day ATM IV
85.0%
IV Rank
47%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to USAR's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
USAR Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261016 $1.96 $0.87 85.0% 47%
20261015 $2.16 $1.03 86.4% 50%
20261014 $1.90 $1.00 80.4% 37%
20261013 $2.15 $1.05 76.7% 29%
20261012 $2.03 $0.71 70.6% 14%
20261009 $1.94 $0.78 70.0% 12%
20261008 $2.02 $0.97 70.9% 13%
20261007 $2.17 $1.08 69.3% 10%
20261006 $2.19 $1.17 68.6% 9%
20261005 $2.28 $0.76 70.1% 12%
20261002 $1.96 $0.83 67.0% 6%
20261001 $2.02 $1.12 63.8% 0%
20260930 $2.31 $1.15 71.1% 6%
20260929 $2.23 $1.23 68.2% 0%
20260928 $2.42 $0.83 70.7% 5%
20260925 $2.23 $1.03 68.1% 0%
20260924 $2.48 $1.22 71.7% 0%
20260923 $2.73 $1.36 74.6% 6%
20260922 $3.03 $1.69 76.8% 11%
20260921 $2.99 $1.23 74.1% 5%
20260918 $2.50 $1.09 71.7% 0%
20260917 $2.55 $1.28 71.9% 0%
20260916 $2.52 $1.43 73.5% 0%
20260915 $2.68 $1.56 74.3% 0%
20260914 $2.97 $1.07 78.4% 8%
20260911 $2.55 $1.19 74.7% 0%
20260910 $2.84 $1.47 79.1% 5%
20260909 $3.25 $1.69 83.5% 15%
20260908 $3.46 $1.98 84.0% 16%
20260904 $3.14 $1.29 80.8% 8%
20260903 $3.09 $1.40 77.2% 0%
20260902 $3.35 $1.65 81.1% 4%
20260901 $3.27 $1.77 79.7% 1%
20260831 $3.34 $1.27 79.5% 0%
20260828 $3.37 $1.56 85.5% 4%
20260827 $3.88 $1.99 89.7% 16%
20260826 $3.92 $2.19 90.6% 19%
20260825 $4.14 $2.56 91.3% 21%
20260824 $3.61 $1.52 87.4% 9%
20260821 $3.67 $1.85 87.3% 9%
20260820 $3.25 $1.67 84.5% 1%
20260819 $3.56 $1.94 87.0% 9%
20260818 $3.69 $2.16 84.0% 0%
20260817 $3.82 $1.50 84.7% 0%
20260814 $3.78 $1.83 86.1% 1%
20260813 $3.62 $1.74 86.9% 3%
20260812 $3.58 $1.99 85.7% 0%
20260811 $3.95 $2.21 90.2% 0%
20260810 $4.50 $2.07 100.5% 34%
20260807 — — 102.9% 42%
20260806 $4.28 $2.67 108.6% 63%
20260805 $4.20 $2.32 107.7% 59%
20260804 $4.34 $2.67 107.6% 59%
20260803 $3.97 $1.51 106.5% 55%
20260731 $3.34 $1.60 101.1% 36%
20260730 $3.27 $1.57 99.5% 30%
20260729 $3.07 $1.64 103.0% 43%
20260728 $3.12 $1.88 96.8% 21%
20260727 $3.38 $1.28 97.3% 23%
20260724 $3.02 $1.41 96.9% 21%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.