USD · Expected Move
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors · ETF
The expected move for USD is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
USD straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current USD Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$13.45
7-Day Straddle
$13.45
30-Day ATM IV
80.5%
IV Rank
41%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to USD's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
USD Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261022 | $13.45 | $13.45 | 80.5% | 41% |
| 20261021 | $13.15 | $13.15 | 71.8% | 25% |
| 20261020 | $12.65 | $12.65 | 69.3% | 20% |
| 20261019 | $13.00 | $13.00 | 69.6% | 21% |
| 20261016 | $13.45 | $1.50 | 70.9% | 23% |
| 20261015 | $13.95 | $2.65 | 68.0% | 18% |
| 20261014 | $14.40 | $4.82 | 67.2% | 16% |
| 20261013 | $14.85 | $4.72 | 63.5% | 9% |
| 20261012 | $15.05 | $5.83 | 63.9% | 10% |
| 20261009 | $16.60 | $6.30 | 64.7% | 12% |
| 20261008 | $17.95 | $7.32 | 68.4% | 18% |
| 20261007 | $18.15 | $7.25 | 62.2% | 7% |
| 20261006 | $18.30 | $7.25 | 61.6% | 6% |
| 20261005 | $19.10 | $8.07 | 62.9% | 8% |
| 20261002 | $9.35 | $9.35 | 66.6% | 15% |
| 20261001 | $9.45 | $9.45 | 68.3% | 18% |
| 20260930 | $10.60 | $10.60 | 68.7% | 19% |
| 20260929 | $11.25 | $11.25 | 68.4% | 18% |
| 20260928 | $11.05 | $11.05 | 68.5% | 19% |
| 20260925 | $11.55 | $11.55 | 66.9% | 16% |
| 20260924 | $12.50 | $12.50 | 68.5% | 19% |
| 20260923 | $12.25 | $12.25 | 67.8% | 17% |
| 20260922 | $13.55 | $13.55 | 68.2% | 18% |
| 20260921 | $13.05 | $13.05 | 67.4% | 16% |
| 20260918 | $12.05 | $1.20 | 61.3% | 5% |
| 20260917 | $11.50 | $2.50 | 59.5% | 2% |
| 20260916 | $11.35 | $3.55 | 62.9% | 8% |
| 20260915 | $11.00 | $4.38 | 61.8% | 6% |
| 20260914 | $12.15 | $5.03 | 66.4% | 15% |
| 20260911 | $13.30 | $5.92 | 63.1% | 8% |
| 20260910 | $14.50 | $7.10 | 69.0% | 19% |
| 20260909 | $15.25 | $7.60 | 67.2% | 16% |
| 20260908 | $15.50 | $8.55 | 67.4% | 17% |
| 20260904 | $15.10 | $8.05 | 62.1% | 7% |
| 20260903 | $13.90 | $7.25 | 58.6% | 0% |
| 20260902 | $8.45 | $8.45 | 63.1% | 0% |
| 20260901 | $8.45 | $8.45 | 63.9% | 1% |
| 20260831 | $9.25 | $9.25 | 63.5% | 0% |
| 20260828 | $10.15 | $10.15 | 65.1% | 0% |
| 20260827 | $11.20 | $11.20 | 66.8% | 3% |
| 20260826 | $11.65 | $11.65 | 71.5% | 13% |
| 20260825 | $10.25 | $10.25 | 65.6% | 0% |
| 20260824 | $12.40 | $12.40 | 74.8% | 12% |
| 20260821 | $13.25 | $1.88 | 69.5% | 0% |
| 20260820 | $14.30 | $2.88 | 75.0% | 9% |
| 20260819 | $13.40 | $3.97 | 71.1% | 0% |
| 20260818 | $14.70 | $4.85 | 73.3% | 3% |
| 20260817 | $16.30 | $6.60 | 73.5% | 4% |
| 20260814 | $17.20 | $6.40 | 73.5% | 4% |
| 20260813 | $18.20 | $8.43 | 76.6% | 11% |
| 20260812 | $17.30 | $8.50 | 73.2% | 3% |
| 20260811 | $17.40 | $9.10 | 76.3% | 11% |
| 20260810 | $19.50 | $10.50 | 83.6% | 29% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 79.7% | 19% |
| 20260806 | $23.25 | $14.55 | 94.7% | 57% |
| 20260805 | $14.30 | $14.30 | 96.8% | 62% |
| 20260804 | $16.30 | $16.30 | 101.0% | 72% |
| 20260803 | $14.85 | $14.85 | 98.0% | 65% |
| 20260731 | $15.40 | $15.40 | 98.3% | 65% |
| 20260730 | $15.00 | $15.00 | 99.0% | 67% |
More on USD
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