USL · Expected Move
United States 12 Month Oil Fund, LP · ETF
The expected move for USL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
USL straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current USL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$5.30
7-Day Straddle
$5.30
30-Day ATM IV
60.2%
IV Rank
100%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to USL's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
USL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20260302 | $5.30 | $5.30 | 60.2% | 100% |
| 20260227 | $3.80 | $3.80 | 48.3% | 100% |
| 20260226 | $3.58 | $3.58 | 43.0% | 86% |
| 20260225 | $3.45 | $3.45 | 43.0% | 86% |
| 20260224 | $3.38 | $3.38 | 42.8% | 85% |
| 20260223 | $3.55 | $3.55 | 42.6% | 84% |
| 20260221 | $3.73 | $3.73 | — | — |
| 20260220 | $3.73 | $1.23 | 43.4% | 88% |
| 20260219 | $4.10 | $1.38 | 46.3% | 100% |
| 20260218 | $3.12 | $1.05 | 37.1% | 77% |
| 20260217 | $2.62 | $1.42 | 31.3% | 46% |
| 20260213 | $2.60 | $1.62 | 29.3% | 35% |
| 20260212 | $2.73 | $1.62 | 30.2% | 40% |
| 20260211 | $3.28 | $2.35 | 34.9% | 66% |
| 20260210 | $3.35 | $1.97 | 35.3% | 67% |
| 20260209 | $3.83 | $2.20 | 38.7% | 85% |
| 20260206 | $3.80 | $2.55 | 40.0% | 93% |
| 20260205 | $4.12 | $2.42 | 41.3% | 99% |
| 20260204 | $2.62 | $2.62 | 40.3% | 94% |
| 20260203 | $2.27 | $2.27 | 37.3% | 78% |
| 20260202 | $2.35 | $2.35 | 38.4% | 84% |
| 20260130 | $3.02 | $3.02 | 41.4% | 100% |
| 20260129 | $3.10 | $3.10 | 40.9% | 100% |
| 20260128 | $2.70 | $2.70 | 37.0% | 100% |
| 20260127 | $2.73 | $2.73 | 36.3% | 100% |
| 20260126 | $2.53 | $2.53 | 34.7% | 95% |
| 20260123 | $2.50 | $2.50 | 32.6% | 80% |
| 20260122 | $2.50 | $2.50 | 33.4% | 86% |
| 20260121 | $2.55 | $2.55 | 31.9% | 74% |
| 20260120 | $2.58 | $2.58 | 30.2% | 64% |
| 20260116 | $2.55 | $1.00 | 30.6% | 67% |
| 20260115 | $2.95 | $1.38 | 32.5% | 80% |
| 20260114 | $3.17 | $1.45 | 35.3% | 100% |
| 20260113 | $2.67 | $1.50 | 30.1% | 70% |
| 20260112 | $2.48 | $1.32 | 26.7% | 42% |
| 20260109 | $2.52 | $1.50 | 27.1% | 46% |
| 20260108 | $2.27 | $1.68 | 25.1% | 30% |
| 20260107 | $2.20 | $1.80 | 27.0% | 45% |
| 20260106 | $2.27 | $1.45 | 34.0% | 100% |
| 20260105 | $2.23 | $1.58 | 24.7% | 29% |
| 20260102 | $1.68 | $1.68 | 26.4% | 43% |
| 20251231 | $1.60 | $1.60 | 26.9% | 47% |
| 20251230 | $1.43 | $1.43 | 26.0% | 40% |
| 20251229 | $1.92 | $1.92 | 28.0% | 57% |
| 20251226 | $1.90 | $1.90 | 27.4% | 52% |
| 20251224 | $2.45 | $2.45 | 32.0% | 91% |
| 20251223 | $2.00 | $2.00 | 27.3% | 51% |
| 20251222 | $2.08 | $2.08 | 28.0% | 57% |
| 20251219 | $2.50 | $2.95 | 32.1% | 92% |
| 20251218 | $2.08 | $0.92 | 24.5% | 27% |
| 20251217 | $2.60 | $1.38 | 32.8% | 97% |
| 20251216 | $4.00 | $0.75 | 25.3% | 34% |
| 20251215 | $2.02 | $1.58 | 24.7% | 29% |
| 20251212 | $2.40 | $1.48 | 27.0% | 48% |
| 20251211 | $2.00 | $2.00 | 23.1% | 15% |
| 20251210 | $2.05 | $1.50 | 28.1% | 58% |
| 20251209 | $2.25 | $1.75 | 27.3% | 51% |
| 20251208 | $2.38 | $1.62 | 27.6% | 54% |
| 20251205 | $2.27 | $1.70 | 30.5% | 78% |
| 20251204 | $3.08 | $1.75 | 31.1% | 83% |
More on USL
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.