VB · Expected Move

Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF · ETF

The expected move for VB is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

VB straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current VB Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$14.60
7-Day Straddle
$5.80
30-Day ATM IV
18.3%
IV Rank
45%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to VB's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
VB Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261008 $14.60 $5.80 18.3% 45%
20261007 $14.40 $6.15 17.6% 35%
20261006 $14.60 $5.85 17.1% 30%
20261005 $14.60 $6.95 17.2% 31%
20261002 $6.30 $6.30 16.9% 26%
20261001 $8.75 $8.75 18.3% 44%
20260930 $8.20 $8.20 18.1% 42%
20260929 $8.60 $8.60 17.6% 36%
20260928 $9.40 $9.40 17.7% 37%
20260925 $8.93 $8.93 16.7% 24%
20260924 $9.57 $9.57 17.2% 31%
20260923 $9.65 $9.65 17.1% 29%
20260922 $9.43 $9.43 15.8% 13%
20260921 $9.75 $9.75 16.1% 17%
20260918 $10.45 $1.73 16.3% 19%
20260917 $10.20 $2.90 15.2% 5%
20260916 $11.30 $4.03 17.2% 30%
20260915 $11.90 $5.20 17.2% 31%
20260914 $12.30 $5.68 16.7% 25%
20260911 $12.10 $5.28 16.7% 25%
20260910 $13.40 $7.18 18.1% 42%
20260909 $12.65 $6.88 16.9% 27%
20260908 $12.55 $6.47 16.4% 20%
20260904 $12.50 $6.78 15.2% 6%
20260903 $12.80 $6.95 15.3% 7%
20260902 $7.93 $7.93 15.6% 10%
20260901 $9.22 $9.22 16.5% 22%
20260831 $7.97 $7.97 15.4% 7%
20260828 $8.85 $8.85 15.3% 7%
20260827 $8.80 $8.80 15.6% 10%
20260826 $9.45 $9.45 15.9% 14%
20260825 $9.50 $9.50 16.0% 15%
20260824 $10.15 $10.15 16.3% 20%
20260821 $10.35 $1.58 15.5% 9%
20260820 $10.85 $2.57 16.1% 17%
20260819 $10.65 $3.08 14.8% 0%
20260818 $10.35 $3.27 15.0% 0%
20260817 $11.05 $3.88 15.2% 3%
20260814 $11.55 $4.10 15.0% 0%
20260813 $11.80 $4.72 15.2% 0%
20260812 $12.60 $5.80 15.6% 0%
20260811 $13.30 $6.20 16.3% 5%
20260810 $13.45 $6.90 16.6% 8%
20260807 — — 15.8% 0%
20260806 $13.95 $7.85 16.6% 0%
20260805 $7.55 $7.55 16.7% 0%
20260804 $8.57 $8.57 16.7% 0%
20260803 $8.70 $8.70 17.0% 0%
20260731 $9.95 $9.95 17.9% 3%
20260730 $10.40 $10.40 18.1% 5%
20260729 $12.15 $12.15 19.9% 18%
20260728 $11.00 $11.00 18.4% 8%
20260727 $12.00 $12.00 18.5% 8%
20260724 $12.20 $12.20 18.5% 8%
20260723 $12.75 $12.75 19.2% 13%
20260722 $12.25 $12.25 17.6% 1%
20260721 $12.70 $12.70 17.5% 1%
20260720 $13.05 $13.05 18.9% 11%
20260716 $12.70 $2.92 17.4% 0%
20260715 $13.85 $3.90 17.6% 0%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.