VCRB · Expected Move

Vanguard Core Bond ETF · ETF

The expected move for VCRB is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

VCRB straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current VCRB Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.05
7-Day Straddle
$4.05
30-Day ATM IV
—
IV Rank
—
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to VCRB's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
VCRB Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20260708 $4.05 $4.05 — —
20260707 $3.95 $3.95 — —
20260706 $3.95 $3.95 — —
20260702 $3.95 $3.95 — —
20260701 $3.95 $3.95 — —
20260630 $3.95 $3.95 — —
20260629 $4.00 $4.00 — —
20260626 $3.95 $3.95 — —
20260625 $3.95 $3.95 — —
20260624 $3.95 $3.95 — —
20260623 $3.95 $3.95 — —
20260622 $3.95 $3.95 — —
20260618 $2.80 $2.80 — —
20260617 $2.80 $2.80 — —
20260616 $2.80 $2.80 — —
20260615 $2.80 $2.80 — —
20260613 $2.80 $2.80 — —
20260612 $2.80 $2.80 — —
20260611 $2.80 $2.80 34.2% 100%
20260610 $2.80 $2.80 30.1% 100%
20260609 $2.80 $2.80 28.7% 100%
20260608 $2.80 $2.80 26.5% 91%
20260605 $2.80 $2.80 23.5% 73%
20260604 $2.80 $2.80 24.1% 77%
20260603 $2.80 $2.80 22.8% 69%
20260602 $2.80 $2.80 22.8% 69%
20260601 $2.80 $2.80 22.0% 64%
20260529 $2.80 $2.80 19.9% 52%
20260528 $2.80 $2.80 19.5% 50%
20260527 $2.80 $2.80 19.3% 49%
20260526 $2.80 $2.80 19.0% 48%
20260522 $2.80 $2.80 16.8% 35%
20260521 $2.80 $2.80 16.3% 34%
20260520 $2.80 $2.80 15.8% 32%
20260519 $3.00 $3.00 14.7% 26%
20260518 $3.00 $3.00 14.9% 27%
20260515 $2.80 $2.33 14.3% 24%
20260514 $2.80 $2.33 15.4% 30%
20260513 $2.80 $2.33 15.2% 28%
20260512 $2.80 $2.33 14.9% 27%
20260511 $2.80 $2.33 14.6% 25%
20260510 $2.80 $2.33 — —
20260508 $2.80 $2.33 15.0% 27%
20260507 $2.80 $2.33 14.4% 24%
20260506 $2.80 $2.33 14.8% 26%
20260505 $2.80 $2.33 14.2% 23%
20260504 $2.80 $2.33 14.8% 26%
20260502 $2.40 $2.40 — —
20260501 $2.40 $2.40 14.6% 25%
20260430 $2.45 $2.45 14.2% 23%
20260429 $2.45 $2.45 13.9% 21%
20260428 $2.58 $2.58 14.6% 25%
20260427 $2.52 $2.52 14.3% 23%
20260424 $2.52 $2.52 19.3% 51%
20260423 $2.48 $2.48 15.1% 28%
20260422 $2.55 $2.55 16.0% 33%
20260421 $2.55 $2.55 15.5% 30%
20260420 $2.52 $2.52 16.1% 33%
20260417 $2.55 $2.08 17.2% 40%
20260416 $2.60 $2.17 15.8% 32%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.