VEA · Expected Move

Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF · ETF

The expected move for VEA is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

VEA straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current VEA Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.48
7-Day Straddle
$2.48
30-Day ATM IV
16.3%
IV Rank
14%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to VEA's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
VEA Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $2.48 $2.48 16.3% 14%
20261021 $2.90 $2.90 18.1% 23%
20261020 $2.45 $2.45 15.6% 11%
20261019 $3.10 $3.10 17.4% 19%
20261016 $3.03 $0.90 17.4% 20%
20261015 $3.12 $0.82 17.7% 21%
20261014 $3.30 $1.12 18.2% 23%
20261013 $3.28 $1.07 23.5% 48%
20261012 $3.47 $1.17 19.1% 27%
20261009 $3.50 $1.43 18.8% 26%
20261008 $3.55 $1.65 18.9% 26%
20261007 $3.82 $1.62 19.0% 27%
20261006 $3.98 $1.80 19.7% 30%
20261005 $3.80 $2.10 19.1% 27%
20261002 $2.08 $2.08 18.5% 24%
20261001 $2.40 $2.40 20.0% 32%
20260930 $2.05 $2.05 18.9% 26%
20260929 $2.70 $2.70 20.8% 35%
20260928 $2.15 $2.15 18.0% 22%
20260925 $2.27 $2.27 17.7% 21%
20260924 $2.80 $2.80 19.3% 28%
20260923 $2.80 $2.80 18.2% 23%
20260922 $2.30 $2.30 17.0% 18%
20260921 $2.77 $2.77 18.6% 25%
20260918 $2.88 $0.65 17.7% 21%
20260917 $2.88 $0.75 17.4% 19%
20260916 $3.00 $1.00 17.3% 19%
20260915 $3.05 $1.48 18.2% 23%
20260914 $2.83 $1.40 17.1% 18%
20260911 $2.95 $1.43 16.4% 15%
20260910 $3.02 $1.77 17.1% 18%
20260909 $3.30 $1.83 18.1% 22%
20260908 $3.30 $1.70 34.6% 100%
20260904 $2.42 $1.93 13.4% 1%
20260903 $3.15 $2.05 16.5% 25%
20260902 $2.08 $2.08 22.3% 71%
20260901 $2.17 $2.17 22.5% 72%
20260831 $1.95 $1.95 15.3% 16%
20260828 $2.12 $2.12 15.5% 18%
20260827 $2.15 $2.15 16.9% 29%
20260826 $2.42 $2.42 16.0% 21%
20260825 $2.65 $2.65 16.8% 28%
20260824 $2.52 $2.52 16.8% 28%
20260821 $2.85 $0.65 16.9% 28%
20260820 $2.75 $0.72 16.9% 28%
20260819 $2.98 $0.68 17.7% 35%
20260818 $2.95 $1.12 16.8% 27%
20260817 $2.60 $1.30 15.4% 17%
20260814 $2.55 $0.90 14.2% 7%
20260813 $2.75 $1.15 14.2% 7%
20260812 $2.65 $1.32 14.4% 7%
20260811 $2.77 $1.40 15.3% 14%
20260810 $3.25 $1.50 16.5% 22%
20260807 — — 15.4% 14%
20260806 $3.17 $1.92 23.6% 70%
20260805 $1.98 $1.98 17.1% 26%
20260804 $1.97 $1.97 16.7% 24%
20260803 $2.17 $2.17 17.3% 28%
20260731 $2.52 $2.52 18.6% 36%
20260730 $1.90 $1.90 14.9% 11%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.