VGIT · Expected Move

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF · ETF

The expected move for VGIT is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

VGIT straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current VGIT Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.35
7-Day Straddle
$1.35
30-Day ATM IV
5.4%
IV Rank
4%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to VGIT's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
VGIT Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $1.35 $1.35 5.4% 4%
20261020 $0.57 $0.57 5.8% 5%
20261019 $0.40 $0.40 41.6% 100%
20261016 $0.85 $2.92 6.0% 20%
20261015 $0.80 $0.97 5.6% 16%
20261014 $0.88 $1.07 6.0% 20%
20261013 $0.80 $0.38 5.5% 14%
20261012 $1.65 $0.35 10.5% 65%
20261009 $0.85 $0.28 7.0% 30%
20261008 $0.90 $1.10 7.4% 34%
20261007 $0.98 $0.48 6.1% 21%
20261006 $0.95 $1.12 7.5% 35%
20261005 $1.07 $0.57 7.8% 38%
20261002 $0.68 $0.68 6.9% 29%
20261001 $0.62 $0.62 6.3% 23%
20260930 $1.42 $1.42 7.6% 36%
20260929 $2.00 $2.00 6.2% 22%
20260928 $1.43 $1.43 9.8% 58%
20260925 $0.65 $0.65 5.8% 18%
20260924 $1.58 $1.58 9.8% 58%
20260923 $1.95 $1.95 13.9% 100%
20260922 $0.62 $0.62 5.1% 15%
20260921 $0.42 $0.42 6.1% 30%
20260918 $1.28 $0.25 8.4% 64%
20260917 $0.70 $1.23 10.8% 98%
20260916 $1.50 $1.05 10.4% 92%
20260915 $1.30 $1.15 10.9% 100%
20260914 $0.78 $1.17 5.5% 22%
20260911 $0.80 $0.50 7.3% 50%
20260910 $1.65 $1.38 7.6% 55%
20260909 $1.32 $0.40 8.4% 66%
20260908 $0.65 $0.38 4.5% 7%
20260904 $1.38 $0.40 4.4% 5%
20260903 $0.70 $0.42 4.5% 7%
20260902 $0.43 $0.43 4.5% 6%
20260901 $0.45 $0.45 5.3% 19%
20260831 $0.45 $0.45 4.5% 7%
20260828 $0.45 $0.45 7.5% 54%
20260827 $0.57 $0.57 4.4% 6%
20260826 $0.62 $0.62 4.4% 6%
20260825 $0.67 $0.67 4.5% 6%
20260824 $1.10 $1.10 5.2% 18%
20260821 $0.60 $2.70 4.6% 8%
20260820 $0.68 $1.25 4.6% 9%
20260819 $0.67 $0.50 4.3% 4%
20260818 $1.23 $1.27 4.4% 6%
20260817 $0.70 $1.25 4.6% 8%
20260814 $0.75 $0.55 5.4% 21%
20260813 $1.50 $0.62 4.9% 13%
20260812 $0.77 $0.50 5.8% 27%
20260811 $0.80 $1.88 6.9% 43%
20260810 $0.78 $0.48 6.1% 31%
20260807 — — 4.8% 11%
20260806 $0.82 $0.60 6.5% 37%
20260805 $0.88 $0.88 6.9% 43%
20260804 $0.65 $0.65 5.0% 14%
20260803 $0.57 $0.57 5.4% 20%
20260731 $0.60 $0.60 5.3% 20%
20260730 $0.65 $0.65 5.2% 18%
20260729 $1.15 $1.15 6.8% 42%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.