VGLT · Expected Move

Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF · ETF

The expected move for VGLT is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

VGLT straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current VGLT Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.62
7-Day Straddle
$1.62
30-Day ATM IV
12.3%
IV Rank
39%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to VGLT's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
VGLT Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $1.62 $1.62 12.3% 39%
20261020 $1.27 $1.27 22.0% 100%
20261019 $1.38 $1.38 11.3% 34%
20261016 $1.62 $1.00 13.6% 49%
20261015 $1.80 $1.60 18.2% 78%
20261014 $1.60 $0.98 11.8% 37%
20261013 $1.30 $0.78 17.1% 72%
20261012 $1.35 $0.72 21.5% 100%
20261009 $1.48 $0.82 11.3% 50%
20261008 $1.38 $0.72 10.8% 46%
20261007 $1.50 $0.88 15.1% 88%
20261006 $1.48 $0.85 11.6% 54%
20261005 $1.77 $0.88 12.7% 64%
20261002 $0.97 $0.97 12.3% 61%
20261001 $1.18 $1.18 13.6% 74%
20260930 $1.15 $1.15 13.1% 68%
20260929 $1.07 $1.07 13.1% 69%
20260928 $1.25 $1.25 12.2% 60%
20260925 $1.02 $1.02 10.6% 44%
20260924 $1.07 $1.07 10.6% 44%
20260923 $1.45 $1.45 11.7% 54%
20260922 $0.95 $0.95 8.3% 21%
20260921 $1.05 $1.05 8.8% 26%
20260918 $1.07 $0.60 9.2% 31%
20260917 $1.23 $1.00 16.3% 100%
20260916 $1.10 $0.80 9.5% 46%
20260915 $1.07 $0.65 9.0% 40%
20260914 $1.27 $0.50 10.5% 59%
20260911 $1.10 $0.62 11.4% 72%
20260910 $1.18 $0.60 9.5% 46%
20260909 $1.45 $1.10 13.2% 94%
20260908 $1.70 $0.55 8.7% 21%
20260904 $1.15 $0.57 8.0% 16%
20260903 $1.90 $0.60 11.3% 42%
20260902 $1.35 $1.35 12.4% 52%
20260901 $1.05 $1.05 12.0% 48%
20260831 $0.68 $0.68 8.4% 19%
20260828 $1.60 $1.60 9.8% 31%
20260827 $0.93 $0.93 13.6% 61%
20260826 $0.78 $0.78 8.3% 18%
20260825 $1.05 $1.05 9.9% 31%
20260824 $1.10 $1.10 9.3% 16%
20260821 $0.95 $0.25 8.0% 10%
20260820 $0.93 $0.23 7.8% 9%
20260819 $0.95 $0.40 7.4% 7%
20260818 $0.98 $0.60 7.7% 8%
20260817 $1.10 $0.80 12.8% 34%
20260814 $1.15 $0.43 8.8% 14%
20260813 $0.97 $0.68 7.4% 7%
20260812 $1.38 $0.47 9.4% 17%
20260811 $1.23 $0.57 8.9% 14%
20260810 $1.15 $0.62 8.3% 11%
20260807 — — 7.3% 6%
20260806 $1.20 $0.70 8.0% 10%
20260805 $0.98 $0.98 8.6% 13%
20260804 $0.75 $0.75 7.8% 9%
20260803 $0.77 $0.77 9.4% 17%
20260731 $0.93 $0.93 11.5% 27%
20260730 $0.85 $0.85 8.3% 11%
20260729 $0.93 $0.93 8.6% 13%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.