VTES · Expected Move

Vanguard Short-Term Tax-Exempt Bond ETF · ETF

The expected move for VTES is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

VTES straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current VTES Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$0.00
7-Day Straddle
$0.00
30-Day ATM IV
15.2%
IV Rank
43%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to VTES's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
VTES Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $0.00 $0.00 15.2% 43%
20261020 $2.45 $2.45 15.1% 42%
20261019 $0.00 $0.00 15.2% 42%
20261016 $1.95 $3.80 14.6% 39%
20261015 $3.80 $3.17 14.8% 41%
20261014 $3.85 $2.90 14.8% 41%
20261013 $3.85 $3.05 14.6% 40%
20261012 $3.85 $3.10 14.5% 39%
20261009 $3.85 $3.03 16.2% 47%
20261008 $3.95 $3.12 16.0% 47%
20261007 $4.00 $3.15 15.5% 44%
20261006 $4.15 $3.20 15.6% 45%
20261005 $4.90 $4.55 15.6% 44%
20261002 $3.25 $3.25 15.5% 44%
20261001 $3.05 $3.05 15.6% 45%
20260930 $3.25 $3.25 15.7% 45%
20260929 $3.25 $3.25 18.3% 58%
20260928 $3.08 $3.08 15.7% 45%
20260925 $3.02 $3.02 14.7% 40%
20260924 $2.00 $2.00 16.0% 46%
20260923 $2.05 $2.05 16.0% 46%
20260922 $2.25 $2.25 14.1% 37%
20260921 $3.67 $3.67 13.4% 34%
20260918 $3.17 $3.75 14.3% 38%
20260917 $3.08 $2.97 23.3% 84%
20260916 $3.10 $2.97 12.9% 31%
20260915 $3.05 $2.88 11.8% 26%
20260914 $3.10 $2.85 11.3% 23%
20260911 $3.15 $2.70 11.9% 26%
20260910 $3.15 $2.83 14.2% 37%
20260909 $3.23 $2.80 12.0% 26%
20260908 $3.33 $3.02 12.3% 28%
20260904 $3.50 $3.02 12.5% 29%
20260903 $3.55 $3.02 12.5% 29%
20260902 $3.08 $3.08 12.6% 29%
20260901 $3.08 $3.08 12.6% 29%
20260831 $3.20 $3.20 6.8% 0%
20260828 $3.05 $3.05 7.2% 0%
20260827 $2.67 $2.67 7.3% 0%
20260826 $2.70 $2.70 7.4% 0%
20260825 $2.70 $2.70 7.6% 0%
20260824 $2.73 $2.73 25.7% 95%
20260821 $2.72 $3.40 26.3% 98%
20260820 $2.75 $2.58 26.4% 99%
20260819 $2.67 $2.40 26.6% 100%
20260818 $2.67 $2.45 26.2% 100%
20260817 $2.78 $2.48 25.8% 100%
20260814 $2.90 $2.58 24.4% 100%
20260813 $2.88 $2.52 23.9% 100%
20260812 $3.83 $2.53 23.4% 100%
20260811 $2.45 $2.17 23.3% 100%
20260810 $2.67 $2.28 22.9% 100%
20260806 $3.70 $3.62 12.0% 33%
20260805 $2.33 $2.33 19.9% 92%
20260804 $2.40 $2.40 12.5% 36%
20260803 $2.48 $2.48 11.8% 31%
20260731 $2.58 $2.58 12.4% 36%
20260730 $2.58 $2.58 16.9% 70%
20260729 $2.52 $2.52 11.3% 34%
20260728 $2.60 $2.60 15.4% 64%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.