VTI · Expected Move

Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF · ETF

The expected move for VTI is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

VTI straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current VTI Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$14.10
7-Day Straddle
$5.00
30-Day ATM IV
13.4%
IV Rank
23%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to VTI's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
VTI Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261008 $14.10 $5.00 13.4% 23%
20261007 $14.65 $5.85 13.3% 21%
20261006 $13.35 $5.62 12.5% 10%
20261005 $14.80 $6.07 13.1% 19%
20261002 $6.77 $6.77 13.2% 20%
20261001 $8.15 $8.15 14.0% 32%
20260930 $9.35 $9.35 14.9% 44%
20260929 $8.30 $8.30 13.9% 30%
20260928 $8.95 $8.95 13.7% 28%
20260925 $8.55 $8.55 12.5% 10%
20260924 $9.00 $9.00 13.0% 17%
20260923 $8.90 $8.90 12.5% 11%
20260922 $9.45 $9.45 12.5% 10%
20260921 $9.60 $9.60 12.3% 8%
20260918 $10.00 $0.62 11.9% 2%
20260917 $10.60 $2.40 12.4% 10%
20260916 $12.15 $4.00 14.0% 32%
20260915 $11.60 $4.90 13.9% 31%
20260914 $11.95 $5.15 13.5% 25%
20260911 $12.30 $5.68 12.7% 13%
20260910 $13.00 $6.28 14.2% 35%
20260909 $13.75 $6.72 14.2% 34%
20260908 $12.20 $6.70 12.7% 14%
20260904 $12.40 $6.20 11.8% 0%
20260903 $12.75 $7.27 11.9% 0%
20260902 $8.20 $8.20 12.6% 9%
20260901 $8.50 $8.50 13.3% 19%
20260831 $8.00 $8.00 12.4% 6%
20260828 $8.10 $8.10 12.1% 2%
20260827 $8.60 $8.60 12.0% 0%
20260826 $9.30 $9.30 12.8% 9%
20260825 $10.00 $10.00 13.1% 13%
20260824 $10.85 $10.85 13.2% 15%
20260821 $9.90 $2.02 12.3% 0%
20260820 $11.95 $2.88 13.3% 17%
20260819 $11.35 $2.38 13.1% 12%
20260818 $12.10 $3.45 13.8% 23%
20260817 $12.30 $4.17 12.6% 5%
20260814 $11.80 $3.70 12.2% 0%
20260813 $12.25 $4.60 12.6% 0%
20260812 $13.85 $5.45 13.3% 7%
20260811 $13.35 $6.18 13.3% 7%
20260810 $13.75 $6.50 13.1% 4%
20260807 — — 12.7% 0%
20260806 $14.60 $7.70 13.6% 5%
20260805 $8.55 $8.55 14.0% 8%
20260804 $9.22 $9.22 14.3% 10%
20260803 $7.55 $7.55 13.2% 2%
20260731 $9.10 $9.10 13.6% 5%
20260730 $10.50 $10.50 14.8% 14%
20260729 $13.60 $13.60 18.0% 38%
20260728 $11.95 $11.95 16.0% 23%
20260727 $12.35 $12.35 16.0% 23%
20260724 $12.20 $12.20 15.1% 16%
20260723 $13.05 $13.05 16.0% 23%
20260722 $11.55 $11.55 14.1% 9%
20260721 $11.65 $11.65 13.7% 5%
20260720 $13.80 $13.80 15.4% 19%
20260716 $13.10 $2.70 13.5% 4%
20260715 $13.20 $4.00 13.1% 2%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.