VTV · Expected Move

Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF · ETF

The expected move for VTV is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

VTV straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current VTV Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$6.17
7-Day Straddle
$6.17
30-Day ATM IV
12.4%
IV Rank
69%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to VTV's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
VTV Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261023 $6.17 $6.17 12.4% 69%
20261022 $6.65 $6.65 12.4% 69%
20261021 $5.72 $5.72 11.1% 45%
20261020 $6.38 $6.38 12.3% 51%
20261019 $7.45 $7.45 12.3% 52%
20261016 $5.88 $1.80 11.5% 38%
20261015 $6.22 $2.75 11.4% 37%
20261014 $6.45 $1.80 11.1% 32%
20261013 $6.12 $2.10 10.5% 24%
20261012 $6.97 $2.17 11.4% 37%
20261009 $6.82 $1.98 11.1% 33%
20261008 $7.00 $2.72 11.5% 38%
20261007 $6.75 $2.75 11.5% 38%
20261006 $7.17 $2.58 11.4% 37%
20261005 $6.55 $3.92 10.9% 30%
20261002 $4.40 $4.40 11.4% 37%
20261001 $4.28 $4.28 11.9% 44%
20260930 $4.70 $4.70 12.0% 46%
20260929 $4.10 $4.10 10.9% 30%
20260928 $4.20 $4.20 11.6% 40%
20260925 $4.30 $4.30 10.9% 29%
20260924 $4.40 $4.40 10.8% 29%
20260923 $4.53 $4.53 10.4% 23%
20260922 $4.55 $4.55 10.1% 19%
20260921 $5.12 $5.12 10.6% 26%
20260918 $5.30 $1.27 10.6% 26%
20260917 $5.83 $2.30 11.1% 32%
20260916 $6.40 $2.42 12.4% 51%
20260915 $5.68 $3.67 10.2% 19%
20260914 $5.50 $2.85 10.9% 30%
20260911 $5.85 $2.65 10.5% 24%
20260910 $6.85 $4.25 11.2% 34%
20260909 $5.95 $2.85 10.7% 27%
20260908 $5.35 $3.00 9.4% 9%
20260904 $6.47 $3.03 9.5% 10%
20260903 $6.40 $3.28 9.3% 8%
20260902 $3.55 $3.55 9.4% 9%
20260901 $3.03 $3.03 9.4% 8%
20260831 $2.90 $2.90 9.1% 4%
20260828 $3.62 $3.62 9.8% 14%
20260827 $3.35 $3.35 8.8% 0%
20260826 $4.38 $4.38 9.9% 7%
20260825 $4.60 $4.60 9.5% 1%
20260824 $4.75 $4.75 9.4% 0%
20260821 $5.50 $1.52 10.4% 14%
20260820 $5.35 $0.93 10.5% 16%
20260819 $6.45 $2.08 10.3% 14%
20260818 $5.72 $1.77 9.8% 6%
20260817 $6.03 $2.30 10.6% 19%
20260814 $5.47 $3.07 10.1% 9%
20260813 $6.30 $2.88 9.8% 5%
20260812 $7.00 $2.67 11.3% 25%
20260811 $5.58 $2.42 9.4% 0%
20260810 $6.05 $2.60 10.1% 7%
20260807 — — 9.5% 0%
20260806 $7.25 $2.95 11.4% 11%
20260805 $3.38 $3.38 11.3% 11%
20260804 $3.58 $3.58 10.9% 7%
20260803 $4.35 $4.35 11.6% 13%
20260731 $4.62 $4.62 11.7% 14%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.