XBTY · Expected Move

GraniteShares YieldBOOST Bitcoin ETF · ETF

The expected move for XBTY is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

XBTY straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current XBTY Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.10
7-Day Straddle
$1.20
30-Day ATM IV
67.2%
IV Rank
44%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to XBTY's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
XBTY Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261009 $1.10 $1.20 67.2% 44%
20261008 $1.12 $1.23 45.3% 27%
20261007 $1.12 $1.20 48.1% 29%
20261006 $1.10 $1.20 72.1% 48%
20261005 $1.12 $1.20 16.8% 5%
20261002 $1.20 $1.20 49.1% 30%
20261001 $1.23 $1.23 31.2% 16%
20260930 $1.23 $1.23 66.8% 44%
20260929 $1.25 $1.25 78.3% 53%
20260928 $1.27 $1.27 57.5% 37%
20260925 $1.25 $1.25 74.5% 50%
20260924 $1.25 $1.25 34.5% 18%
20260923 $1.25 $1.25 33.5% 16%
20260922 $1.25 $1.25 33.7% 16%
20260921 $1.30 $1.30 97.3% 62%
20260918 $1.35 $2.88 62.3% 37%
20260917 $1.15 $1.27 55.5% 32%
20260916 $1.43 $1.30 53.7% 30%
20260915 $1.43 $1.45 — —
20260914 $1.38 $1.27 78.5% 48%
20260911 $1.43 $1.30 47.6% 26%
20260910 $1.45 $1.33 56.8% 33%
20260909 $1.40 $1.27 58.2% 34%
20260908 $1.43 $1.30 48.5% 27%
20260904 $1.48 $1.33 61.1% 36%
20260903 $1.50 $0.95 80.2% 49%
20260902 $1.38 $1.38 83.8% 52%
20260901 $1.38 $1.38 81.9% 51%
20260831 $1.38 $1.38 89.7% 56%
20260828 $1.35 $1.35 99.8% 63%
20260827 $1.43 $1.43 107.5% 69%
20260826 $1.45 $1.45 103.4% 66%
20260825 $1.10 $1.10 93.3% 59%
20260824 $1.40 $1.40 94.2% 59%
20260821 $1.32 $0.45 100.7% 64%
20260820 $1.30 $1.17 122.7% 80%
20260819 $1.05 $1.15 104.9% 67%
20260818 $1.27 $1.18 123.1% 80%
20260817 $1.35 $1.27 121.1% 79%
20260814 $1.43 $0.83 114.5% 74%
20260813 $1.45 $0.83 95.7% 60%
20260812 $1.43 $0.80 108.8% 70%
20260811 $1.43 $0.80 87.0% 54%
20260810 $2.12 $1.88 83.8% 52%
20260807 — — 134.1% 88%
20260806 $1.80 $1.90 118.9% 77%
20260805 $1.90 $1.90 101.9% 65%
20260804 $1.35 $1.35 84.4% 52%
20260803 $1.95 $1.95 82.1% 51%
20260731 $1.92 $1.92 63.7% 38%
20260730 $1.97 $1.97 61.8% 36%
20260729 $1.60 $1.60 110.6% 71%
20260728 $2.00 $2.00 100.4% 64%
20260727 $1.23 $1.23 59.1% 34%
20260724 $2.02 $2.02 50.6% 28%
20260723 $1.28 $1.28 101.2% 64%
20260722 $1.23 $1.23 11.0% 0%
20260721 $1.30 $1.30 89.2% 55%
20260720 $1.40 $1.40 51.8% 28%
20260716 $1.40 $0.57 48.1% 25%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.