XLB · Expected Move

State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF · ETF

The expected move for XLB is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

XLB straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current XLB Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.50
7-Day Straddle
$1.11
30-Day ATM IV
20.8%
IV Rank
27%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to XLB's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
XLB Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261016 $2.50 $1.11 20.8% 27%
20261015 $2.37 $1.25 20.4% 25%
20261014 $2.46 $1.57 21.3% 29%
20261013 $2.17 $1.29 18.6% 16%
20261012 $2.17 $0.75 18.9% 18%
20261009 $2.45 $1.02 20.8% 27%
20261008 $2.18 $0.94 19.7% 22%
20261007 $2.25 $1.15 20.1% 24%
20261006 $2.15 $1.33 19.8% 22%
20261005 $3.27 $1.76 28.1% 62%
20261002 $2.28 $1.14 21.7% 30%
20261001 $2.44 $1.18 22.0% 31%
20260930 $2.22 $1.21 19.7% 20%
20260929 $2.40 $1.51 22.3% 33%
20260928 $2.08 $1.03 18.4% 15%
20260925 $3.50 $3.42 17.9% 12%
20260924 $2.12 $1.04 18.4% 15%
20260923 $2.38 $1.01 20.7% 25%
20260922 $3.02 $1.07 24.5% 43%
20260921 $2.12 $0.88 18.1% 14%
20260918 $1.99 $0.81 18.0% 13%
20260917 $2.05 $1.07 18.2% 14%
20260916 $2.04 $1.35 18.0% 13%
20260915 $1.96 $1.25 17.2% 9%
20260914 $2.25 $3.05 18.4% 15%
20260911 $1.94 $1.00 17.8% 12%
20260910 $2.25 $1.16 19.5% 20%
20260909 $3.31 $1.42 28.3% 60%
20260908 $2.36 $1.26 19.6% 20%
20260904 $2.09 $2.66 20.8% 26%
20260903 $1.83 $0.99 16.0% 4%
20260902 $1.99 $0.96 16.7% 7%
20260901 $2.51 $1.18 20.1% 22%
20260831 $2.25 $0.80 18.8% 17%
20260828 $1.67 $0.85 15.2% 0%
20260827 $2.26 $1.10 17.7% 4%
20260826 $2.29 $5.11 20.5% 13%
20260825 $2.63 $1.31 20.6% 14%
20260824 $2.37 $0.91 18.6% 6%
20260821 $2.12 $1.06 18.3% 5%
20260820 $3.02 $1.27 24.5% 27%
20260819 $2.11 $3.05 17.6% 3%
20260818 $1.88 $1.11 16.8% 0%
20260817 $2.20 $0.69 19.0% 6%
20260814 $2.45 $1.96 20.3% 10%
20260813 $1.94 $3.07 23.5% 22%
20260812 $3.46 $1.07 27.9% 32%
20260811 $2.37 $1.37 19.5% 6%
20260810 $2.46 $1.09 19.4% 6%
20260807 — — 17.5% 0%
20260806 $2.36 $1.08 20.1% 6%
20260805 $2.25 $3.25 18.1% 0%
20260804 $2.71 $1.52 35.9% 56%
20260803 $2.31 $0.88 19.0% 1%
20260731 $1.91 $1.43 32.7% 45%
20260730 $2.37 $1.48 20.2% 5%
20260729 $2.54 $1.56 20.9% 7%
20260728 $2.25 $1.70 19.0% 1%
20260727 $2.20 $1.04 21.3% 9%
20260724 $2.33 $1.31 23.6% 16%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.