XLE · Expected Move

State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF · ETF

The expected move for XLE is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

XLE straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current XLE Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.79
7-Day Straddle
$1.95
30-Day ATM IV
25.6%
IV Rank
30%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to XLE's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
XLE Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261008 $3.79 $1.95 25.6% 30%
20261007 $3.66 $1.27 25.2% 26%
20261006 $3.89 $1.39 26.0% 34%
20261005 $3.85 $1.80 25.9% 34%
20261002 $3.60 $1.67 26.1% 36%
20261001 $3.75 $1.50 26.5% 40%
20260930 $3.61 $1.83 25.8% 33%
20260929 $3.66 $1.55 26.1% 36%
20260928 $4.05 $1.92 27.4% 51%
20260925 $3.62 $1.85 27.2% 48%
20260924 $3.76 $1.67 26.9% 44%
20260923 $3.77 $1.84 26.5% 40%
20260922 $4.19 $1.64 25.9% 34%
20260921 $3.92 $1.81 26.7% 42%
20260918 $3.73 $1.82 25.4% 28%
20260917 $3.91 $1.69 26.3% 38%
20260916 $4.03 $1.88 27.7% 53%
20260915 $4.14 $1.83 27.2% 48%
20260914 $4.14 $2.13 26.4% 40%
20260911 $3.72 $1.83 25.8% 32%
20260910 $3.91 $1.81 26.8% 44%
20260909 $3.94 $1.87 26.3% 38%
20260908 $3.88 $1.48 26.8% 43%
20260904 $3.37 $1.51 24.2% 14%
20260903 $3.65 $1.39 25.0% 24%
20260902 $3.69 $1.51 24.8% 22%
20260901 $3.75 $1.75 25.7% 32%
20260831 $3.63 $1.79 24.0% 13%
20260828 $3.30 $1.51 23.9% 11%
20260827 $3.45 $1.42 24.5% 18%
20260826 $3.54 $1.69 24.9% 23%
20260825 $3.62 $1.43 25.5% 29%
20260824 $3.66 $1.59 24.4% 17%
20260821 $3.67 $1.67 24.6% 19%
20260820 $3.72 $1.48 25.2% 26%
20260819 $3.66 $1.62 24.2% 11%
20260818 $3.84 $1.48 25.3% 21%
20260817 $3.55 $1.60 24.1% 11%
20260814 $3.20 $1.45 23.5% 5%
20260813 $3.25 $1.60 23.8% 8%
20260812 $3.29 $1.71 23.7% 8%
20260811 $3.58 $2.07 25.4% 22%
20260810 $3.69 $1.47 26.2% 29%
20260807 — — 26.3% 29%
20260806 $3.32 $1.84 25.6% 23%
20260805 $3.31 $1.88 25.2% 20%
20260804 $3.63 $2.04 26.7% 33%
20260803 $3.59 $1.40 25.9% 26%
20260731 $3.40 $1.60 25.8% 25%
20260730 $3.47 $1.94 26.4% 31%
20260729 $3.69 $2.21 27.7% 42%
20260728 $3.55 $2.17 26.7% 33%
20260727 $3.75 $1.52 27.4% 39%
20260724 $3.67 $1.92 27.9% 43%
20260723 $3.67 $2.00 27.7% 41%
20260722 $3.63 $2.04 26.8% 34%
20260721 $3.65 $2.08 27.1% 34%
20260720 $3.80 $1.37 28.1% 42%
20260716 $3.20 $1.56 25.1% 18%
20260715 $3.21 $1.73 25.1% 18%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.