US gas prices this week
50/50 line66%Above 4.0200
Line nearest 50/50
66%
Market median
4.025
Biggest 24h move-38 pts
8%
24h volume
$409K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 4.0000
98%
+11
Above 4.0200
66%
-8
Above 4.0400
8%
-38
Above 4.0600
2%
-24
Above 4.1000
1%
-3
Above 4.1200
1%
-1
Above 4.0800
1%
-12
Above 4.1400
0%
-1
Above 4.1600
0%
-1
Above 4.2000
0%
-1
Above 4.2200
0%
-1
Above 4.1800
0%
-1
Above 4.2400
0%
-1
Above 4.4000
0%
+ 4 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 4.025Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 4.0000YES $59K · NO $0 · 16 orders · biggest $6K
- Above 4.0600YES $0 · NO $56K · 18 orders · biggest $12K
- Above 4.1000YES $0 · NO $47K · 16 orders · biggest $10K
- Above 4.1200YES $0 · NO $37K · 14 orders · biggest $8K
- Above 4.1400YES $0 · NO $29K · 9 orders · biggest $8K
- Above 4.0800YES $0 · NO $28K · 11 orders · biggest $5K
- Above 4.0200YES $22K · NO $0 · 9 orders · biggest $4K
- Above 4.0400YES $0 · NO $17K · 8 orders · biggest $4K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.0600 | NO | 99¢ | $12K | |
| Above 4.0000 | YES | 97¢ | $6K | |
| Above 4.0600 | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.0200 | YES | 69¢ | $3K | |
| Above 4.1000 | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.1400 | NO | 99¢ | $3K | |
| Above 4.0400 | NO | 92¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.0000 | YES | 98¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.0600 | NO | 99¢ | $3K | |
| Above 4.0400 | NO | 89¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
18| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.0000 | 98% | +11.0 | $77K | $70K |
| Above 4.0200 | 66% | -8.0 | $54K | $48K |
| Above 4.0400 | 8% | -38.0 | $54K | $29K |
| Above 4.0600 | 2% | -23.5 | $75K | $71K |
| Above 4.1000 | 1% | -3.0 | $37K | $44K |
| Above 4.1200 | 1% | -1.0 | $21K | $36K |
| Above 4.0800 | 1% | -12.0 | $32K | $36K |
| Above 4.1400 | 0% | -1.0 | $18K | $22K |
| Above 4.1600 | 0% | -1.0 | $13K | $14K |
| Above 4.2000 | 0% | -1.0 | $3K | $7K |
| Above 4.2200 | 0% | -1.0 | $2K | $3K |
| Above 4.1800 | 0% | -1.0 | $2K | $3K |
| Above 4.2400 | 0% | -1.0 | $2K | $3K |
| Above 4.4000 | 0% | — | $2K | $6K |
| Above 4.3200 | 0% | — | $6K | $8K |
| Above 4.2800 | 0% | -1.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Above 4.3000 | 0% | -1.0 | $5K | $4K |
| Above 4.2600 | 0% | — | $3K | $2K |