What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (4d) All outcomes: US gas prices this week Gas prices

chance of YES2% -24.5pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

1–80%

24h volume

74.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

71.3K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

1¢ / 2¢

spread 1.0¢

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 1.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 4, 11:06 PM ET	NO	99¢	12,423	$12K
Nov 4, 8:54 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,417	$2K
Nov 4, 7:53 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,552	$3K
Nov 4, 6:43 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,021	$2K
Nov 4, 5:21 PM ET	NO	99¢	4,047	$4K
Nov 4, 4:50 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,687	$2K
Nov 4, 2:00 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,405	$2K
Nov 4, 11:18 AM ET	NO	96¢	4,107	$4K
Nov 4, 11:13 AM ET	NO	97¢	4,000	$4K
Nov 4, 10:58 AM ET	NO	94¢	4,086	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.