K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?

Settles Nov 09, 2026 (4d) All outcomes: US gas prices this week Gas prices

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chance of YES98% +11.5pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
73–98%
24h volume
76.7K
$1 contracts
Open interest
70.3K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
98.0¢ 2,853 99.0¢ 8,417
97.0¢ 2,000
96.0¢ 134
95.0¢ 20,001
93.0¢ 16

Mid 98.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 4.020066%53.9K
Above 4.04008%54.6K
Above 4.10002%37.2K
Above 4.12002%20.6K
Above 4.08002%32.2K
Above 4.06002%74.4K
Above 4.18001%2.1K
Above 4.14000%18.2K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES97¢ 6,563$6K
YES98¢ 2,103$2K
YES97¢ 2,730$3K
YES97¢ 6,583$6K
YES96¢ 5,518$5K
YES97¢ 3,454$3K
YES95¢ 3,705$4K
YES96¢ 3,679$4K
YES94¢ 4,102$4K
YES97¢ 2,738$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.