Snow in Chicago in Dec 2026?

4 outcomesSettles Jan 01, 2027 (69d)

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50/50 line54%Above 4 inches
Line nearest 50/50
54%
Above 4 inches
Market median
6.318inches
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$862
$591 open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

What the market expects

median 6.318inches

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

All outcomes

4
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 2 inches 87% -6.0 $361 $59
Above 6 inches 56% -3.5 $292 $221
Above 4 inches 54% -19.5 $156 $178
Above 8 inches 32% -4.5 $53 $133