What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 4 inches

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (69d) All outcomes: Snow in Chicago in Dec 2026?

chance of YES54% -19.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

11–97%

24h volume

156

$1 contracts

Open interest

178

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.