What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 87%, implying a 87% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 2 inches

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (69d) All outcomes: Snow in Chicago in Dec 2026?

chance of YES87% -6.0pp in 24h

Price range (12h)

31–83%

24h volume

361

$1 contracts

Open interest

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 12h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.