K KalshiWeather & Climate

What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?

5 outcomesSettles Aug 15, 2027 (288d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite64%2.5°C to 2.9°C
Favorite
64%
2.5°C to 2.9°C
Runner-up
30%
At least 3.0°C
Biggest 24h move+6 pts
30%
At least 3.0°C
24h volume
$3K
$38K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

one winner
2.5°C to 2.9°C 64% -1
At least 3.0°C 30% +6
2.0°C to 2.4°C 6% -2
Below 1.5°C 2%
1.5°C to 1.9°C 2%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • At least 3.0°C
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
At least 3.0°CNO 70¢$1K

All outcomes

5
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
2.5°C to 2.9°C 64% -1.0 $7 $10K
At least 3.0°C 30% +6.5 $2K $12K
2.0°C to 2.4°C 6% -1.5 $286 $10K
Below 1.5°C 2% — $0 $3K
1.5°C to 1.9°C 2% — $0 $3K

Same series