Australia unemployment rate in October
50/50 line43%Above 4.7%
Line nearest 50/50
43%
Market median
4.677%
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$1K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 4.3%
98%
Above 4.4%
96%
Above 4.5%
92%
Above 4.6%
74%
-6
Above 4.7%
43%
Above 4.8%
14%
-4
Above 4.9%
7%
Above 5.0%
4%
-5
Above 5.1%
4%
Above 5.2%
2%
-2
What the market expects
median 4.677%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyAll outcomes
10| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.3% | 98% | — | $0 | $53 |
| Above 4.4% | 96% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 4.5% | 92% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 4.6% | 74% | -6.0 | $5 | $40 |
| Above 4.7% | 43% | — | $18 | $18 |
| Above 4.8% | 14% | -4.0 | $400 | $202 |
| Above 4.9% | 7% | — | $206 | $202 |
| Above 5.0% | 4% | -5.0 | $201 | $201 |
| Above 5.1% | 4% | — | $401 | $1 |
| Above 5.2% | 2% | -2.0 | $9 | $235 |
Same series
- Canada unemployment rate in November≈ Above 6.5% 60% · settles 2026-12-04
- Germany unemployment rate in November≈ Above 6.4% 24% · settles 2026-11-27
- Russia unemployment rate in October≈ Above 2.2% 39% · settles 2026-12-02
- Brazil unemployment rate in October≈ Above 5.2% 37% · settles 2026-11-27